Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research monthly US Consumer Survey Insights Extra series offers a more detailed or specific take on trends and data from our weekly surveys of US consumers.

In this report, we examine how US consumers expect to spend for the major retail events of 4Q23, as well as reviewing consumer behavior during Amazon’s Prime Day.

We also include results from our weekly survey questions through September 18 aggregated in four-week increments over the past seven months,  increasing the sample size of each period from about 400 to about 1,600.

Data in this research report are our proprietary survey data on:

  • Consumers’ expectations vs actual shopping behavior for Amazon’s Prime Day 2023, broken down by category
  • Consumers’ spending expectations for Singles’ Day and Amazon’s Prime Big Deal Days, 2022 vs 2023 and by category
  • Consumers’ spending and activity expectations for Halloween and the holiday season overall, 2022 vs 2023 and by category
  • Aggregated monthly data on activities, avoidance, online and in-store shopping, and food and nonfood retailers consumers shopped with, March–September 2023

Companies mentioned in this report include: Aldi, Amazon, Albertsons, Ahold Delhaize, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Kohl’s, Kroger, Macy’s, Target, Walmart

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies.

Data in this research report include:

  • 2023 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2022 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2023 major US store closures and openings
  • 2023 major UK store closures and openings

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Target, Next

Other relevant research:

Complementing our weekly reports, the Coresight Research US Store Tracker Databank offers our premium subscribers access to openings and closures data from 2012 to 2023 year to date, filterable by sector and year—now including retailer-level data.

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Reasons to Read

The monthly Coresight Research Leading Indicators of US Retail Sales series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. This report analyzes the latest available data as of September 24, 2023.

Data in this research report include:

  • Proprietary Coresight Research projections for retail sales growth by month for the next 12 months
  • US actual retail sales versus model predicted sales
  • US unemployment rate and labor force participation rate
  • US average hourly wages for all private-sector employees
  • US annualized real disposable income per capita

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Reasons to Read

We analyze China’s retail sales for August 2023, in total and by sector, as well as online retail sales and penetration.

Data in this research report are:

  • Year-over-year changes in China total retail sales (ex. food service; incl. automobiles and gasoline) for the past 13 months
  • Year-over-year changes in retail sales by sector—June, July and August 2023
  • Online retail sales as a proportion of total retail sales for the past 13 months

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Using data from RetailNext, we analyze US retail traffic and in-store metrics in August 2023, in total and by sector, region and location type.

Data in this report include:

  • Year-over-year changes in US store-based traffic and sales for the past 13 months
  • Year-over-year changes in US store-based nonfood retail metrics for the past 13 months—including conversion, ATV, shopper yield and average unit retail
  • Year-over-year changes in US retail traffic for selected industry verticals, for the past 13 months

Other relevant research:

  • Our monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators, focusing on China, the UK and the US.
  • Complementing our monthly reports, the Coresight Research US Retail Sales Databank brings together retail sales data to help you understand the scale and trajectory of US retail.
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Reasons to Read

We highlight our latest thinking on the prospects for US holiday retailing, as of September 2023.

Data in this research report include:

  • Consumer survey data—expectations around personal financial circumstances compared to the 2022 holiday season
  • Recent trends in, and impacts of, inflation
  • How consumers are spending—recent retail sales growth

Other relevant research:

  • Holiday 2023: Early US Retail Outlook
  • All Coresight Research coverage of US holiday retail
  • Our full series of US Consumer Survey Insights and US Consumer Survey Insights Extra reports
  • Coresight Research monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators, focusing on China, the UK and the US. Click here to view our full collection of monthly reports.
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Reasons to Read

We present a six-month follow-up on the growth of online marketplace Temu in the US, with analysis of the views of US consumers regarding the platform based on recent, proprietary survey findings.

The appendix of this report includes recent key developments regarding Temu.

Data in this research report include:

  • Global cross-border market size, 2021–2025E
  • PDD Holdings’ sales and marketing expenses, 2021–2023
  • Whether or not US consumers are familiar with Temu—overall and breakdown by age group
  • How consumers who are familiar with Temu discovered the platform and whether or not they would purchase a product on Temu
  • Concerns that consumers have about buying from Temu

Companies mentioned in this report include: AliExpress, PDD Holdings, Shein, Temu, Wish

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Survey Insights (formerly US Consumer Tracker) series takes a regular temperature check on US consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

In this report, we present findings from our survey conducted on September 18, 2023.

Data in this research report are our latest proprietary survey findings on:

  • Which retailers consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
  • What products consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks
  • Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks
  • Avoidance of public places, by type of public place—latest data and four-week PPT changes

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Aldi, Amazon, Albertsons, Ahold Delhaize, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Kohl’s, Kroger, Macy’s, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Using data from the Office for National Statistics, we analyze UK retail sales in August 2023, in total and by sector.

Data in this report are:

  • Year-over-year changes in UK total retail sales (excluding automotive fuel) for the past 13 months
  • Year-over-year changes in retail sales by sector, June–August 2023
  • Year-over-year changes in online retail sales for the past 13 months

Other relevant research:

Our monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators, focusing on China, the UK and the US.

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly China Consumer Survey Insights series (formerly China Consumer Tracker)  takes a regular temperature check on Chinese consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

In this research report, we present findings from our survey conducted on September 11, 2023.

Data in this research report are:

  • Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks
  • Avoidance of public places, by type of public place—latest data and one-and four-week PPT changes
  • What products consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks
  • Expectations for economic conditions and personal finances in the next 12 months
  • A timeline of selected Covid-19 policy changes in China

Other relevant research:

Retail 2023: 10 Trends in China E-Commerce

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Reasons to Read

The Generative AI Latest series provides regular updates on generative AI (artificial intelligence) developments globally—from retailers, governments, and platform and solution providers.

Learn about key trends in the space; topics in this report include the EU’s new Digital Services Act, the ways conversational AI is reshaping retail customer service, and new solutions announced at VMware Explore 2023.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alibaba Cloud, Baidu, Google, Gupshup, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI

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Reasons to Read

Each report in the Weinswig’s Weekly series reflects on a topical theme in retail. We also highlight our key research from the past week and upcoming reports to look out for, so you don’t miss out.

That’s a wrap on Groceryshop 2023! As a research partner of the event, Coresight Research provided detailed, daily coverage of key sessions, keynotes and the “Shark Reef” Startup Pitch competition. We heard insights from industry leaders spanning all things grocery retail, from consumer expectations to generative AI.

From the desk of Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder of Coresight Research, we discuss highlights from the Startup Pitch and the conference overall, including what we heard from the CEOs of Kroger and Ahold Delhaize USA.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies.

Data in this research report include:

  • 2023 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2022 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2023 major US store closures and openings
  • 2023 major UK store closures and openings

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Hobby Lobby, Decathlon

Other relevant research:

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Introduction

Coresight Research is a research partner of Groceryshop 2023, which is taking place September 19–21, 2023, in Las Vegas, Nevada. Groceryshop is an annual conference that helps businesses navigate the evolving grocery landscape, exploring the latest business models, advanced technologies and shifting consumer behaviors.

In this report, we present our top insights from the third and final day of the event.

Groceryshop 2023 Day Three: Coresight Research Insights

Unified Shopping Experience: “It Starts with the Consumer”

The seamless convergence of online and offline shopping experiences will be a major trend in Groceryshop 2023. Consumers expect a smooth transition between digital platforms and physical stores, which demand unified inventory, pricing and personalized promotions across all touchpoints.

While many consumers will continue to use the physical channel for their grocery shopping, many on-the-go shoppers need retailers to reach them in new ways, as discussed in the “Serving the On-the-Go Consumer” session. Cara Keating, Chief Customer Officer at Frito-Lay North America, PepsiCo, stated that the company is working to have the right products available for consumers whenever and wherever they want them, which requires a change in perspective, shifting away from a more traditional channel management perspective. “It starts with the consumer, and the consumer is changing rapidly,” she explained.

The proliferation of new channels also requires a change in product innovation, so that the products meet the needs of consumers who need products quickly or shop via new channels. The panelists said that is especially important in regard to prepared foods, the quality of which can decline quickly if they are not served within a certain period of time.

Making these types of changes can be particularly challenging for smaller companies. When asked what advice she would give to smaller brands, Keating stated that companies should ensure that they are picking both the right channels and the right channel partners, ensuring their portfolio is strong and accessible.

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Keating (left) and interviewer Shefali Kapadia, Managing Editor and CPG Specialist at the Financial Times (right), during the “Serving the On-the-Go Consumer” session
Source: Coresight Research

 

In another session, Chad Petersen, Senior Vice President of E-Commerce at Lowes Foods, also briefly covered the importance of an omnichannel assortment and serving on-the-go consumers, stating that the company’s emphasis is on keeping its assortment aligned across both the physical and digital channels. Lowes Foods does not see Instacart and similar companies as competitors; instead, the company views them as a way to deliver goods to customers in the way they desire. As such, Lowes Foods has worked hard to make sure that Instacart and other, similar services have the product assortments that customers demand.

New Growth Opportunities: Growth in 2023 and Beyond

Diversification beyond traditional offerings will unlock new revenue streams. Increased focus among stakeholders on sustainability, as well as trends in health-conscious consumption, retail media and “polycultural” consumers, present significant opportunities for brands and retailers—these opportunities were a major talking point during the final day of Groceryshop 2023.

Hy-Vee Launches Its Retail Media Network at Groceryshop 2023

During the “Unlocking Growth in Grocery: A New Approach” session, many of the themes of Groceryshop 2023 came together, providing attendees with a path toward growth amid industry change. Panelists explained that, before tapping new growth opportunities, companies need to create the right organizational structure in order to meet customer demand and the needs of the business—in short, the needs of a business and its customers should drive the structure, not the other way around.

Retail media networks (RMNs) were also a major point of discussion as, according to the panel, the concurrent writers’ and actors’ strikes will lead to an estimated 30% drop in television content this fall, but that will not change consumer demand for content. The strikes are creating a significant opportunity for RMNs to compete with established media networks and provide consumers with the content they crave. As such, Donna Tweeten and Aaron Wiese, the Presidents of Hy-Vee, took the opportunity to launch the company’s RMN, Red Media, at Groceryshop 2023. “I don’t know how [companies] will exist in the future without it,” Tweeten stated in reference to retail media.

In another session, Beatriz Alejandra Núñez Jiménez, Chief Growth Officer at Walmart de México y Centroamérica, also provided advice to companies looking at retail media as a growth opportunity. “The most important part of retail media is how you create relevant experiences for the customer,” Jiménez explained.

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Wiese (left) and Tweeten (right) announcing Hy-Vee’s RMN at Groceryshop 2023
Source: Groceryshop

 

Health and Wellness in Grocery

More than six in 10 adults in the US have a chronic disease, while four in 10 have two or more diseases, according to the “Making Grocery Retail a Health and Wellness Destination” session, making health products a significant growth opportunity for the grocery sector. Irina Pelphrey, Vice President of Health and Managed Care at Albertsons Companies, stated that Albertsons is developing a digital wellness program to tap this opportunity and help customers meet their personal health goals. The program provides “healthy points” when the user makes healthy decisions; these points can be used for rewards via a unique loyalty program.

When it comes to healthy foods, panelists reminded attendees that most consumers will not sacrifice taste for health—if healthy products do not taste good, it will be hard for those products to capture a large part of the consumer market. The session also covered the importance of transparent health claims on retail products, which must be backed up with customer-accessible data.

Looking forward, the panel agreed that health categories will continue to be a major growth opportunity for those in the grocery industry. Rhasheda Boyd, Vice President of Better Choice Snacking Portfolio at Frito-Lay North America, stated that the company expects consumers to buy more healthy foods, especially as they become more widespread and affordable. On the grocer side, Pelphrey stated that further integration of digital health tools and related in-store experiences is top of the mind for Albertsons moving forward.

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Boyd during the “Making Grocery Retail a Health and Wellness Destination” session
Source: Groceryshop

 

In the same session where Hy-Vee launched its RMN, Wiese also briefly discussed the growing trend of integrating healthcare into retail offerings. According to Wiese, grocers have the unique opportunity to be part of the “food-as-medicine” trend, providing consumers with healthy food and playing a critical role in preventing disease.

Polycultural Consumers

Another growing opportunity for grocers is the rise of “polycultural” consumers, per Esi Eggleston Bracey, President of Unilever USA and CEO of Personal Care at Unilever North America. Eggleston explained that the grocery market is moving away from “multicultural needs”—where different demographic cohorts have different needs—and toward “polycultural needs,” where the needs of each cohort influence each other. Eggleston specifically called how the trends of Asian, Black and Hispanic consumers are influencing American consumers overall.

Building a Grocery Assortment

With so many growth opportunities in the grocery industry, building the right product assortment can become a significant challenge. During the “Winning Product Assortment Strategies” session, Jay Owen, Co-Founder and Chairman of Dom’s Kitchen & Market, provided attendees with a blueprint for building an effective grocery assortment. First, he explained that customers place two types of items in their baskets—“stable items,” the items that they buy consistently, and “inspired items,” the items that they want to try out or pick up as a special treat. To ensure customers can purchase both stable and inspired items at Dom’s Kitchen & Market, the company breaks down its assortment into three categories:

  • Differentiator products—These are items that customers can only get at Dom’s Kitchen & Market, according to Owen, and make up roughly 25% of the company’s assortment.
  • Emerging products—These are new, specialty or organic items, and they comprise approximately 35% of the company’s products.
  • Mainstream products—These are the products that customers can find in almost every grocery store in the US, and they make up roughly 40% of the company’s assortment.

In addition to ensuring customers can purchase both staples and inspirational items, Owen reminded attendees that it is also important to ensure that a company’s assortment and workforce align with its core mission.

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Owen discussing the product assortment of Dom’s Kitchen & Market
Source: Groceryshop

 

The insights above are just some of the important highlights from Groceryshop 2023. For more on this year’s event, as well as the future of the grocery sector, be sure to read our coverage of the first and second days of Groceryshop 2023, and keep an eye out for our upcoming wrap-up report!

Reasons to Read

Coresight Research offers analysis of the second quarter of 2023 performance of Coresight 100 companies mostly based in the US. We assess the recent performance of selected retailers, brands and e-commerce platforms in terms of revenues, earnings per share and comps, considering consensus estimates and year-over-year changes.

Data in this report include:

  • Quarterly data from companies, including gross margins and sales data by brand (where applicable), channel and geography

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alibaba, Amazon, Albertsons Companies, Bath & Body Works, Best Buy, Carter’s, Clorox Company, Coty, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, The Home Depot, Kroger, Lowe’s, Macy’s, Nordstrom, Procter & Gamble, Target, Under Armour, Walmart

Other relevant research: 

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