Reasons to Read

As part of our Countdown to Holiday 2022 series, we discuss retail performance on Black Friday (November 25) and Cyber Monday (November 28) in the US. We also offer wider learnings for holiday 2022 and the retail environment in general.

Data in this report include:

  • Retail’s trajectory—retail sales and overall inflation; real retail sales and retail inflation
  • US consumer shopping behavior on Black Friday and Cyber Monday, by channel and retailer
  • Store traffic on Black Friday, the Black Friday weekend and Cyber Monday—and store traffic selected retailers
  • Online retail sales on Thanksgiving, Black Friday and Cyber Monday
  • Discounts on selected categories
  • Top 10 product categories purchased by Black Friday shoppers

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Costco, JCPenney, Kohl’s, Macy’s, Nordstrom, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Tracker presents a detailed update on US consumers’ behavior and expectations, with a focus on the implications for US retail. This week, we assess shopper behavior over the Thanksgiving weekend, including Black Friday.

Data in this report are:

  • Activities consumers have done in the last two weeks
  • Public places consumers are currently avoiding
  • Which retailers consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
  • What products consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

  • Read our full series of US Consumer Tracker and US Consumer Tracker Extra reports.
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Reasons to Read

Part of our Retail 2023 series of outlook reports, our flagship annual report outlines our trend expectations for the year ahead in retail globally. We discuss five forces set to impact global retail in 2023—including high inflation and interest rates—and reiterate our RESET framework for retailers to respond to short-term consumer needs while securing longer-term success. 

Data in this report include:

  • Global economic context—GDP growth, inflation and unemployment rates in China, France, Germany, India, the UK and the US
  • US store openings by sector, 2012–2022YTD  
  • Findings from recent Coresight Research surveys of consumers and businesses—across topics such as sustainability, wellness, GNFR costs, retail media and inventory management

Other relevant research: 

Contents

Five Forces

Five Trends

1.Responsive… To Accelerated Structural Frugality

2.Engaging… To Drive Long-Term Loyalty

3.Socially Responsible… as a Buttress Against Trading Down

4.Expansive… To Pursue Alternative Revenue Opportunities

5.Tech-Enabled… To Empower a Productivity Push

What We Think

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Reasons to Read

On November 29, 2022, startups presented their technology solutions on the theme of “smart city” at the Investment Pitch event held by HKSTP and HKBAN in Hong Kong. We offer insights from retail-related companies that participated in the event, with solutions covering robotics, AI, facilities management and more.

Companies mentioned in this report are: Aura Labs, DimOrder, Robocore Technology and Vista Innotech.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary from major US retailers within our Coresight 100 coverage list, as they report third-quarter 2022 earnings.

This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the week ended December 4, 2022, across multiple sectors: apparel and footwear brand owners, apparel and footwear specialty retailers, department stores, discount stores, e-commerce, electronics retailers and off-price retailers.

Data in this report are:

  • Quarterly data from companies, including gross margins and sales data by brand (where applicable), channel and geography

Companies mentioned in this report include: Big Lots, Dollar General, Five Below, Kroger, Petco Health and Wellness Company

Other relevant research: 

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For global retail in 2023 and beyond, Coresight Research reiterates our RESET framework (first launched in 2022) for retailers to respond to short-term consumer needs while securing longer-term success.

Read more about the framework in our flagship annual report, Global Retail in 2023: Five Forces, Five Trends

Reasons to Read

Kicking off our Retail 2023 series of outlook reports, Coresight Research analysts explore multiple retail sectors and the retail technology space in detail, offering directional outlooks, headwinds and tailwinds, and themes to watch for 2023 in each sector.

Data in this report include:

  • US context—unemployment rate, weekly earnings, savings rate and consumer sentiment index
  • US inflation, retail sales and GDP
  • Coresight Research growth expectations for US and global retail sectors

Other relevant research:

  • Look out for future reports in our Retail 2023 series, publishing over the next two weeks, covering global retail trends, retail technology, China e-commerce and retail in India.
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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research monthly US Housing Market Indicators report analyzes ten indicators to assess the health of the US housing market, with implications for home and home-improvement retailers. The most recent data show that all home sales continue to decline.

Data in this report include:

  • US housing permits, starts and completions for October 2021–October 2022
  • US existing home sales for October 2021–October 2022
  • US pending home sales index for October 2021–October 2022, overall and by region
  • US new home sales and year-over-year change for October 2021–October 2022
  • US housing affordability index for September 2021–September 2022

Companies mentioned in this report are: Floor and Decor, Home Depot

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

In each report in the Weinswig’s Weekly series, Coresight Research CEO and Founder Deborah Weinswig reflects on a topical theme in retail. This week, Deborah Weinswig discusses the health of the US consumer economy amid the holiday season.

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Reasons to Read

We analyze the US women’s extended-size market, also known as the plus-size market, presenting market factors, the competitive landscape and themes we are watching. Opportunities exist for brands and retailers to offer everyday apparel in fashion-forward styles.

Data in this report include:

  • US women’s extended-size apparel market size, 2019–2023
  • Year-over-year changes in consumer price index for women’s apparel for all urban customers, seasonally adjusted, January 2019–September 2022
  • US women classification by body mass index as percentage of population, 2017–2018 (latest available data)
  • Major extended-size brands and retailers
  • Major brand and retailer extended-size developments, November 2021–October 2022

Companies mentioned in this report include: Foot Locker, Gap Inc., Levi’s, Macy’s, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

In our Supply Chain Briefing series, we examine key challenges and developments on retail’s supply side. In this report, we explore Made.com’s collapse, US bottlenecks easing and China’s Zero-Covid policy.

Data in this report include:

  • Made.com’s key costs and inventory levels before its collapse into administration
  • US monthly retail import volume in 20-foot equivalent units
  • Average container dwell times for US rail cargo

Companies mentioned in this report include: Apple, Foxconn, Interparfums, Made.com and Next

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies.

Data in this report include:

  • 2022 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2021 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2022 major US store closures and openings
  • 2022 major UK store closures and openings

Companies mentioned in this report include: Aldi, Boyes, Canada Goose, Dick’s Sporting Goods and Dunham Sports

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research US Apparel and Beauty Spending Tracker provides a monthly update on the trajectory of consumer spending on beauty, clothing and footwear. Our latest report covers spending from October 2022, showing that clothing and footwear spending increased by 2.5% year over year.

Data in this report include: 

  • US consumer spending on clothing and footwear year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on clothing by category year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on footwear year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on selected beauty categories year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022

Other relevant research:  

Coresight Research coverage of the apparel and footwear market 

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Coresight Bites provide free snapshots of Coresight Research data and findings. 

This graphic presents selected insights into apparel specialty retail in the US, the UK and China. 

Subscribers can access the full research here. To find out how to subscribe, click here.

We expect that estimated growth rates in the US and the UK will belie deeper real-terms sales declines due to continued elevated levels of inflation in the first half of 2023. 

Click the image below to read our full Market Outlook.  

Reasons to Read

The US Store Tracker Extra monthly series offers insight into retailers’ store closure and opening announcements and details on closures and openings as a percentage of total store base and square-footage impact. This report also offers a comparison between year-to-date announced closures and openings, as of November 25, 2022, versus the comparable period in 2021.

Data in this report are:

  • Year-to-date announced US store closures and openings estimates for 2022, by retailer
  • Year-to-date announced 2022 US store closures and openings estimates in gross square feet, by retailer
  • US announced store closures and openings: week-by-week comparison of 2022 versus 2021

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle Outfitters, Bath & Body Works, Best Buy, Carter’s and Crocs

Other relevant research:

The Coresight Research US Store Tracker Databank offers our premium subscribers access to openings and closures data from 2012 to 2022 year to date, filterable by sector and year—click here to view.

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