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US Holiday Comparable Sales Growth Results: A Mixed Picture So Far

As US retailers report comparable sales for the 2018 holiday season, we’re seeing a mixed bag of results. Some retailers such as Costco and Boot Barn did well, reporting strong comparable sales growth and beating consensus estimates. Retailers such as Target, Barnes & Noble and Buckle showed sequential comparable sales growth improvement, but not as strong. Comparable sales at Macy’s and L Brands weakened sequentially.

NRF 2019 Day 2: Challenging Old Paradigms

Coresight Research Founder and CEO Deborah Weinswig discussed AI in retail with experts from Guess, JD and Markable in a panel discussion called The Intelligence Revolution is Here. Weinswig discussed the massive opportunity in AI in a range of areas from communicating with customers, to optimizing prices and products, to managing inventory and delivering experiential retail.

New Retail Briefing #1: JD.com and Alibaba Restructure

On December 21, 2018, JD.com announced it would restructure its operations with JD Mall, the company’s main revenue-generating unit. JD Mall will be divided into three business departments, including serving customers; business support services; and, infrastructure control and risk management. 

JD.com said in its announcement that the new structure will enable it to better focus on customers. JD Mall’s restructuring also aims to diversify its management team and assuage investors that Liu Qiangdong, JD’s founder and CEO, is not the only person driving decision-making at the company. 

NRF 2019 Day 1: The Big Apple’s Big Show Does Not Disappoint

Rich Roll, author and athlete, set the tone for the panel discussion The Wellness Revolution: Consumer Behavior in a New Retail Era, when he outlined what he sees as the secret of success for his podcast. “One reason (it) works is because it is honest and unpolished,” noted Roll. “We are starved for connection and something that is real.” Roll started a health and wellness podcast The Rich Roll Podcastmidlife after spending part of his career as a corporate attorney. Each of his podcasts has an average of 250,000 to 750,000 downloads, and he’s totaled over 50 million downloads. He encouraged retailers to embrace corporate culture that values honesty and integrity.

Understanding WeChat, China’s Super App: Part 2 — How WeChat Mini Programs Spell Opportunity for Brands and Retailers

WeChat dominates the social media scene in China — so much so that even large companies are leveraging its reach over using their own apps, and even buying add space in WeChat games. To tap into this opportunity, WeChat has been developing “mini programs” that operate within WeChat but function as a separate company app would, allowing users to order, pay for, pick up or have goods delivered. What’s the opportunity?

CES 2019 Wrap-Up: Five Cool Things You Need to Know

At the show, we saw various applications of AI voice technology, which has expanded beyond AI appliances such as the Amazon Echo, Samsung’s Bixby, Apple’s HomePod, the Google Home and many others. Voice control has moved into the realm of home appliances, such as Amazon’s voice-controlled microwave oven, and the voice-controlled TVs and home appliances demonstrated by LG and Samsung. Voice recognition has also entered automobiles — Ford demonstrated operability with Alexa at CES two years ago, Alibaba showed interoperability with Volvo and BMW, and this week, Amazon started taking orders for Echo Auto.

Tesco (LSE: TSCO) 3Q19 and Christmas Update: Strongest U.K. Christmas Growth for a Decade

Tesco, the U.K.’s biggest grocery retailer, reported results for 3Q19 (ended November 24, 2018), and the subsequent six-week Christmas period (ended January 5).

For the core six-week Christmas period, Tesco grew comparable sales in its U.K. operations by 2.2%, above the consensus estimate of 1.4% from StreetAccount. The company said it outperformed the market in volume and value terms and versus the market “in all key categories: food, clothing and general merchandise.”

Seven & i (TSE: 3382) 9M19 Results: Struggling at Home, Silver Lining in Overseas Convenience Stores

Japan-based retailer Seven & i reported net sales of ¥4,110.6 billion for the nine months ended November 30, 2018, up 15.8% year over year. Operating income came in at ¥304.3 billion, up 2.9% year over year. Gross margin on net sales decreased by 200 basis points to 19.6% and operating margin fell by 60 basis points to 6.0%. Diluted EPS was ¥176.53, up 4.7% year over year. Below, we outline the performance of convenience store operations, superstore Ito-Yokado, food supermarket York-Benimaru and department store Sogo & Seibu.

B&M (LSE: BME) 3Q19 Trading Update: UK Growth Is Hit by a Tough November

B&M U.K reported a 1.6% decline in comparable sales, below the 0.9% growth in first half and missing the Street Account consensus of a 0.2% decline.
After what the company called a “difficult November,” December B&M U.K. comps strengthened to 1.2%, while U.K. same-store cash gross margin was down in November but bounced back in December.
Group sales grew 12.1% year over year to £1.09 billion, slightly above the consensus of £1.08 billion, while total U.K. sales grew 4.5% year over year to £874.5 million.
B&M’s Jawoll chain in Germany grew revenues 5.5% at constant currency, while its Heron Foods chain in the U.K. grew revenues 12.6%.

WEINSWIG’S WEEKLY JANUARY 11, 2019

Retailers in the U.S. may have enjoyed a bumper holiday season, but their counterparts elsewhere in the world have been experiencing greater uncertainty. In China, the pace of economic growth has slowed, while in Germany, shoppers have shown renewed caution. Meanwhile, in the U.K., details on Brexit remain unclear, even though the exit date is now less than three months away – raising the real possibility of a deal-less Brexit. Across the U.S., Europe and Asia, macroeconomic and political uncertainty threatens to persist for at least the first few months of 2019. In this week’s note, we look at four inflection points we expect could significantly impact the economy and consumer sentiment in various countries.