Executive Summary

  • British fashion retailer Next reported £4,176.9 million in group revenues, in the 53 weeks ending January 30, 2016, beating the consensus estimate of £4,141.6 million and up 4.4% from £3,999.8 million in the 52 weeks to January 24, 2015.
  • Diluted EPS was 443 pence for FY16, up 6.0% from 417.9 pence in FY15 and beating the consensus estimate of 431 pence.
  • In FY17, the company expects total full price sales growth of the Next Brand to be between the range of -1.0% to +4.0%. At the mid-point of 1.5% of the guidance range, Next Brand sales are expected to be £4,092.7 million, lower than the current consensus estimate of £4,297.9 million.
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Executive Summary

  • Kingfisher reported a 2015 revenue decline of 4.8%, to £10.4 billion, above the consensus estimate of £10.3 billion. Sales were up 3.8% in constant currency and adjusted to exclude B&Q China, to £10.3 billion.
  • Operating profit before exceptional items was up 0.7%, to £692.0 million, beating expectations of £682.8 million. Adjusted diluted EPS was up 3.8%, to £0.22, versus the consensus estimate of £0.21. The performance of Screwfix in the UK and of the operations in Poland strengthened results.
  • The company plans to generate an additional £500 million in sustainable annual profit in the next five years. For 2016, Kingfisher maintains a positive outlook for the UK but remains cautious on France and the wider global economy.
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Executive Summary

  • PVH reported 4Q15 revenues of $2.1 billion, up 2.1% year over year and slightly exceeding the consensus estimate. On a constant currency basis, revenues were up 7%.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.52, above the consensus estimate of $1.46 but down from EPS of $1.76 in the same period last year.
  • For 2016, the company expects an increase of 2% in net sales on a constant currency basis, or 1% on a GAAP basis, and EPS of $6.30–$6.50.
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Executive Summary

  • Today, Nordstrom announced that Kumar Srinivasan joined the company as Chief Technology Officer (CTO).
  • Srinivasan will focus on identifying opportunities to reduce complexity while optimizing engineering and software productivity and effectiveness.
  • Srinivasan has more than 18 years of technology and product management experience, as co-founder and CEO of Evocalize, chief product and technology officer for Bazaarvoice, and as vice president, general manager at Amazon, where he led Amazon Payments Merchant Solutions.

Executive Summary

  • Five Below reported 4Q EPS of $0.77 versus consensus of $0.76 and guidance of $0.75 to $0.76.
  • Total revenues were $326.4 million, up 23.7%, versus consensus of $323.6 million and guidance of $323 to $326 million. Comps were up 3.6% versus consensus of 3.7% and guidance of 2% to 3%.
  • Management provided 1Q guidance which calls for EPS of $0.09 to $0.10 versus consensus of $0.10. This is based on comps up 4% (versus consensus of 3.7%) and total revenues of $186 to $189 million versus the consensus estimate of $188.6 million.

Executive Summary

  • NIKE reported fiscal 3Q16 revenues of $8.0 billion, up 7.7% year over year and up 14% on a currency-neutral basis but below the $8.2 billion consensus estimate. EPS was $0.55, beating the consensus estimate by $0.06.
  • Revenues for the NIKE Brand were $7.6 billion, up 9.1% and up 15% on a currency-neutral basis, up in all geographies and key categories. Revenues for Converse were $489 million, down 5% on a currency-neutral basis, owing to a new order system that pulled orders scheduled for 4Q15 back into 3Q15.
  • At the end of the quarter, futures orders for delivery during March–July 2016 were up 12% year over year and 17% higher excluding currency changes.
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Executive Summary

  • In this report, we discuss several significant developments at Jet.com since our last report on
    July 20, 2015.
  • In October 2015, the company dropped its plans to charge membership fees due to management’s view that its pricing strategy will enable it to remain competitive on pricing while offering attractive profits to investors.
  • Jet.com closed its Series B funding round, increasing its valuation to approximately $1.5 billion.
  • This February, Jet.com acquired home goods
    e-commerce company Hayneedle, which should add another $350 million in revenues to its $500 million revenue run rate.
  • In addition, we provide an update on Jet.com’s pricing mechanism, its JetAnywhere program, and its Jet Wholesale bulk purchasing plan.
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Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • About Fung Global Retail & Technology
  • Macro Summary: Europe & US
  • Budget & Internet Shopping Drive Retail Growth in Europe & the US
  • US Retail in Focus
  • Top 10 Global Disruptive Retail Technology Trends
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Executive Summary

  • Tiffany & Co. reported 4Q15 EPS of $1.46 excluding onetime items versus consensus of $1.40.
  • Total revenue came in at $1.2 billion, in line with expectations. On a geographic basis, worldwide comps were (5)% versus consensus of (4.4)%; Americas comps were (8)%, in line with expectations; Asia-Pacific comps were (8)% versus consensus of (9.0)%: Japan comps were 10% versus consensus of 9.4%; and Europe comps were (3)% versus consensus of (3.4)%.
  • 2016 guidance calls for a mid-single-digit decline in EPS, which is unchanged from prior guidance and versus consensus of $3.86; 2015 EPS was $3.83. 1Q16 EPS is expected to decline by 15%–20% while 2Q16 EPS is expected to decline by 5%–10%. EPS is expected to increase in the second half of the year.
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Executive Summary

  • This week, the Fung Global Retail & Technology team attended panel discussions, met leaders from several startups and saw interesting products on display at the Interactive segment of the 2016 South by Southwest (SXSW) festival in Austin, Texas. The festival focuses on the convergence of music, film and emerging technologies.
  • At the Bonobos shop on Fifth Avenue in Manhattan, shoppers can survey racks of clothes, try on shirts and trousers, and then decide which items to purchase. But they cannot actually buy any clothes in the store, as Bonobos outlets have no stock to sell; the idea is to divorce the purchase of a product from its distribution.
  • Canada’s Hudson’s Bay Company announced plans to invest €1 billion in Galeria Kaufhof, which it acquired last year, over the next five to seven years. The company is also reportedly aiming to open 40 new Saks Off 5th outlets in Germany.
  • Cainiao, a three-year-old, Alibaba-backed logistics firm, has confirmed its maiden external funding round from Temasek and other investors. The company claims to have 128 warehouses and 180,000 express delivery stations in China that allow it to offer same-day delivery in seven Chinese cities and next-day delivery in a further 90.

 

Executive Summary

  • Tencent reported 4Q15 revenues of ¥30.4 billion, up 45.1% year over year and ahead of the consensus estimate of ¥27.8 billion. Non-GAAP EPS was ¥0.95, beating the consensus estimate of ¥0.89.
  • Growth was recorded across the board, driven primarily by the largest segment, Value-Added Services (VAS), with revenue growth of 34.6%. The second-largest segment, Online Advertising, posted 118.2% revenue growth.
  • In 2016, the company plans to invest in its core platforms, new smartphone game genres, expanding its advertising business, growing its digital-content business and in its advertising platform.

 

 

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Executive Summary

  • Radio-frequency identification (RFID) is a 70-year-old technology that many retailers previously avoided due to concerns about cost and other factors.
  • The global RFID market—for tags, interrogators, systems, services, networking and software—is estimated to hit approximately $13.9 billion this year and to grow at a 17.0% CAGR through 2018, according to IDTechEx.
  • We think that trends such as accelerated shipping and omni-channel operations are finally encouraging retailers to overcome their concerns about RFID, and we have seen a significant amount of RFID activity in the retail industry over the past five years.
  • RFID can also serve as an enabling technology for the Internet of Things (IoT), which bodes well for the technology, as an estimated 50 billion devices will be connected by 2020.
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Executive Summary

  • Alimentation Couche-Tard reported fiscal 3Q16 revenues of $9.3 billion, up 2.5% year over year but missing the consensus estimate of $9.9 billion. Comps increased by 0.5% in the US, by 3.4% in Europe and by 0.2% in Canada.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.53, missing the consensus estimate of $0.59 but representing a 3.9% increase from $0.51 in the year-ago quarter.
  • The company highlighted the ongoing strategic actions it took in the quarter, including the rebranding of certain Circle K stores, a fuel-rebranding project and an acquisition agreement with Imperial Oil.

Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • ABOUT THE FUNG GROUP
  • ABOUT FUNG GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY
  • MACRO AND RETAIL LANDSCAPE OVERVIEW
  • 24 DISRUPTORS
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