Executive Summary

  • Footwear e-commerce is making strides. According to Euromonitor International, global online footwear and apparel sales increased by 22% in 2015, and e-commerce accounted for 12% of total global footwear sales. By comparison, the total footwear market grew by 6% last year.
  • There are several factors driving the robust e-commerce growth in footwear, including customization, personalization and millennials’ preference for online shopping. The athleisure and healthy lifestyle trends are bolstering underlying demand for footwear.
  • In the last few years, numerous innovative pure-play online footwear and apparel retailers have entered the market.
  • Fitting issues and the consequent costs of customer returns are the Achilles’ heel of footwear e-commerce, but new technologies are helping shoppers find their perfect fit online and, so, helping retailers save money.
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Executive Summary

  • Bloomingdale’s is running more sales this week than it did during the same week last year. The retailer is offering shoppers up to two in-store-exclusive promotions and one online-exclusive promotion this week; last year this week, it offered no in-store-exclusive promotions and four online-exclusive ones. Bloomingdale’s extended its Buy More, Save More promotion one day longer for online shoppers this year. The retailer is using text message marketing this week, which it did not use during this week last year.
  • JCPenney is promoting more sales this week than it did during this week last year. The retailer is offering up to one in-store-exclusive sale and one online-only sale this week, while it offered a single online-only promotion last year. JCPenney is running a Power Penney Days Sale this week that it did not offer during the same week last year.
  • Kohl’s is running fewer sales this year than it did during the same week last year. The company is offering up to three online-exclusive sales this week, while it did not offer any online-exclusive sales last year. Kohl’s is promoting a Yes2You Rewards Members promotion for six days this week that it did not offer during this week last year.
  • Macy’s is offering many fewer promotions this week than it did last year during the same week. The company is only promoting its one-day Super Sunday Sale this week. During the same week last year, Macy’s offered several promotions, including a designer pop-up sale, a web busters sale and deals of the day.
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Executive Summary

  • Walgreens reported fiscal 4Q16 adjusted EPS of $1.07, ahead of the $0.99 consensus estimate. Reported revenues were $28.64 billion, up 0.4% year over year and below the consensus estimate of $29.11 billion.
  • Management now expects Walgreens’ pending acquisition of Rite Aid to close in early 2017, versus the previously stated end of 2016, and it continues to expect that the Federal Trade Commission will require the parties to divest 500–1,000 stores.
  • For fiscal year 2017, the company expects adjusted EPS of $4.85–$5.20, in line with the consensus estimate of $5.03. This guidance assumes accretion of $0.05–$0.12 from Rite Aid, based on the expected store divestitures and timing of the closing.

Executive Summary

  • The US unemployment rate was unchanged in August, versus an expected drop of 10 basis points. Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 151,000.
  • Real personal consumer expenditures (PCE) dropped by 0.1% month over month in August, while real disposable income rose by 0.1% month over month.
  • The core PCE deflator, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 1.7% year over year for the month; the rate was slightly below the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.
  • The gas price rose moderately from August, reaching US$2.241 per gallon on October 16, 2016. The production cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and crude oil hovering above US$50 a barrel tend to drive gas prices higher, which reduces consumption spending in other categories.
  • Real PCE dropped by 0.1% month over month in August, while real disposable personal income ticked up by 0.1%.
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Executive Summary

  • eBay reported 3Q16 adjusted EPS of $0.45, beating the consensus estimate by a penny and up 3.3% year over year. Revenues were $2.2 billion, slightly above the consensus estimate and up 5.6% year over year.
  • StubHub was the company’s top-performing segment, with 32% revenue growth, followed by Classifieds (up 11% as reported) and Marketplace (up 2% as reported).
  • The company’s full-year revenue guidance range was at or above consensus estimates, and non-GAAP EPS guidance of $1.85–$1.90 was unchanged.
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Executive Summary

  • Walmart and JD.com announced a series of joint initiatives to expand their offering for Chinese online shoppers ahead of Singles Day 2016. This builds upon an existing strategic alliance the two companies had formed in June 2016.
  • A Sam’s Club Flagship Store and a Walmart Global store will be opened on JD.com, enhancing the product offering for Chinese customers. Two-hour deliveries will be offered from more than 20 Walmart stores.
  • We are positive on the debut of Walmart Global and Sam’s Club on JD.com ahead of Singles Day 2016. In our view, this strategic partnership is constructive to Walmart’s strategy to expand its online presence in China.

Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • About Fung Global Retail & Technology
  • AR/VR Technology
  • AR/VR—At an Inflection Point
  • AR/VR—An $80 Billion Market
  • AR Applications
  • VR Hardware
  • VR Applications
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Executive Summary

  • Carrefour reported net sales of €21.8 billion in 3Q16, up 3.6% from 3Q15, at constant currency excluding fuel, and beating the consensus estimate of €21.5 billion.
  • France sales fell by 0.1% year over year, while international sales grew by 6.5%, excluding fuel, at constant currency.
  • Excluding fuel and calendar effects, group comps grew by 3.2%, while organic growth was 3.1%

Executive Summary

  • Zalando expects to report 3Q16 revenue growth in the range of 16-18% year over year to €827-841 million, according to preliminary figures.
  • The company expects to achieve 3Q16 adjusted EBIT of €8-25 million, corresponding to an adjusted EBIT margin of 1.0-3.0%. This marks a clear year-over-year improvement, as Zalando reported an adjusted EBIT decline of
    €24 million and EBIT margin of (3.3)% in 3Q15.
  • Management reiterated that the company expects to deliver FY16 revenue growth at the upper end of its forecast 20.0-25.0% revenue growth range. Following clear profitability improvements, Zalando raised its adjusted FY16 EBIT margin guidance to 5.0-6.0% from the previous range of 4.0-5.5%. The company will report full and detailed 3Q16 results on November 10, 2016.
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Executive Summary

  • Metro Group reported net sales of €58.4 billion inFY16, down 1.4% from FY15, and slightly below the consensus estimate of €58.8 billion. In local currency terms, sales grew by 0.4% and comps grew by 0.2%.
  • In 4Q16, net sales declined by 0.5% to €14.2 billion. Sales grew by 0.2% year over year in local currency and comps grew by 0.1%.
  • Metro stated that the company achieved its internal sales forecast for FY16.
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Executive Summary

  • Supervalu reported fiscal 2Q17 adjusted EPS of $0.13, ahead of the $0.10 consensus estimate and up 12.4% year over year. Revenues were $3.9 billion, down 4.8% year over year and slightly below the consensus estimate.
  • Same-store sales were negative for the Wholesale segment, the Retail segment, at Save-A-Lot and for corporate stores within the Save-A-Lot network. On October 17, Supervalu announced the signing of an agreement to sell Save-A-Lot for $1.365 billion in cash. The sale is expected to close by January 31, 2017.
  • On September 8, the company reduced its full-year outlook for adjusted EBITDA to 5.0% below the $771 million figure reported last year.

 

 

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Executive Summary

  • Menswear retailer The Idle Man opened its first store in London, where customers can try on the collection and buy it online.
  • The retailer competes against high-street stores with a range of fashionable and affordable own-brand clothing.
  • The store is intended as a showroom to display the best of the range available from the retailer’s website.

Executive Summary

  • Burberry reported a 1H17 total group constant-currency revenue decline of 4% to £1,159 million (up 5% in reported currency), slightly below the consensus estimate of £1,163 million. Total results were negatively impacted by weakness in the Americas region and the Beauty and Women’s Apparel categories.
  • Total retail sales increased 2% year over year at constant currencies (up 11% at reported currency) to £859 million. Wholesale sales declined by 14% year over year at constant currencies (down 6% at reported currency) to £287 million in 1H17.
  • 1H17 sales in Asia Pacific declined by 1% year over year at constant currencies.

Executive Summary

  • British online fashion retailer ASOS reported £1,444.9 million in revenues, in the 12 months ending August 31, 2016, above the consensus estimate of £1,436.6 million and up 26% year over year. FY16 constant-currency revenues increased 26% year over year.
  • FY16 diluted EPS from continuing operations was 61.8 pence, up 42% from 43.4 pence in FY15, and above the consensus estimate of 59 pence.
  • ASOS stated that the strong performance is continuing into the new fiscal year, and the company expects FY17 revenue growth to fall in the range of +20% to +25%. The company also stated that it expects FY17 margins to remain broadly stable, but that capital expenditures could increase to between £120 million and £140 million, up from £87 million in FY16.

Executive Summary

US GDP GREW BY 1.4% IN 2Q16, BELOW EXPECTATIONS

  • The US GDP annualized growth rate was 1.4% in 2Q16, following lackluster growth of 0.8% in 1Q16 and 0.9% in 4Q15.
  • Downward revisions to growth in prior periods were in government spending, inventories and net exports.
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