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Internet Retailing Global

• Three of the top ten online retailers are pure plays: Amazon, Jangdong
Mall (trading as JD.com) and B2W Digital (whose main fascia is
Americanas.com.br).
• Note that marketplaces are excluded – because they are not retailers.

China at the Tipping Point

• The China Chain Store & Franchise Association (CCFA) estimates that around 300 new
malls are opened in China each year and that the total number of malls will reach 4,000
by 2015.
• Nine out of the top Ten newly completed malls are in China.
• Malls account for the majority of China’s commercial property supplies:
68.3% (Tier 1 cities) and 61.6% (Tier 2 cities).

Macroeconomic Chartbook

• Real GDP rose at a revised annual rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, down from
5.0% in the third quarter and below the “advance” estimate of 2.6% initially reported
for the final period
• The 0.4 percentage-point difference between the two figures reflected a downward
revision to private inventory investments and an upward revision to imports that
were partially offset by upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment and to
state and local government spending
• Full-year real GDP growth was 2.4%, up from 2.2% in 2013, reflecting higher
consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investments, exports and state and local
government spending, offset by lower federal spending

The Disruptors – The New Connected World

Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI)
• Machine learning finding its way through startups into applications like
marketing, security, and operations
• Deep learning includes computer vision, speech recognition, natural
language processing, and bioinformatics
• Companies today are using neural networks to
identify objects for use
in driverless cars

Consumer Indicators Chartbook

For 2014 total housing starts reached 1.05 million,
significantly below the 1.5 million average of the
past 50 years
• Multi-family down 1% but sector strong on rising
rental demand
• The National Association of Realtors forecast is for
single-family housing starts to rise by 25% to 30% t
in 2015 as construction loans become more
accessible. Multi-family housing starts will rise by
additional 15% given the very low apartment
vacancy rates. That translates into a good
recovery year for homebuilders in 2015