Executive Summary

  • Facebook reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2015 net sales of $5.84 billion, up 51.7% year over year, versus the consensus estimate of $5.37 billion.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.79, which beat the consensus estimate of $0.54, and was up 46% from the same quarter a year ago.
  • Mobile advertising revenue increased to $4.51 billion in the quarter, up 10.3% year over year and versus consensus of $4.09 billion.
  • Facebook saw a 21% year-over-year increase in mobile monthly active users (MAUs), which totaled 1.44 billion versus the consensus estimate of 1.43 billion.
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Executive Summary

  • Kimberly-Clark reported fourth-quarter 2015 net sales of $4.54 billion, which were slightly below the consensus estimate of $4.57 billion, and down 6.0% year over year. Currency effects more than offset the positive contribution of 5% organic growth.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.42, hurt by currency and higher expenses on a local-currency basis, and missing the consensus estimate by a penny.
  • In 2016, the company expects revenues in the range of flat to down by 3% and adjusted EPS of $5.95–$6.15; the midpoints of each range are below consensus estimates.
  • Savings from the company’s restructuring program were $15 million in the fourth quarter, bringing cumulative savings to $70 million.
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Executive Summary

  • Ahold reported healthy net sales growth of 4.3% in the fourth quarter (excluding fuel, at constant rates adjusted for an extra week) and growth of 3.8% for the fiscal year through December 31, 2015, beating expectations.
  • Reported fourth-quarter revenue growth of 21.4% was boosted by an extra trading week in the quarter and by favorable currency effects.
  • Healthy sales growth in the Netherlands, the US and the online channel, contributed positively to the group’s results.
  • Ahold will expand its US market share through a merger with Delhaize Group, a Belgian food retailer with international operations, in 2016.
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Executive Summary

  • Avon (AVP) announced at its Investor Day presentation today that sales from international operations rose by 3% on a constant-currency basis in 2015.
  • The company saw total revenue of approximately $6 billion, constant-dollar revenue growth of 2% (a decline of 19% in reported dollars) and growth in active representatives of 1%.
  • CEO Sheri McCoy said Avon plans to “drive out” $350 million in annual operating expenses—a new three-year goal—by cutting jobs, pouring more money into revamping its technology and services, and seeking alternatives for its China business.
  • Shares of Avon went on a roller-coaster ride today. They were down initially as Avon execs gave their pitch, but spiked to a high of $2.79 after Cerberus Capital Management called them “significantly undervalued” and added that there were “zero concerns about liquidity” at Avon.

Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • Consumers
  • Retail
  • Technology
  • Opportunities
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Executive Summary

AGENDA
  • About Fung Business Intelligent Centre (FBIC)
  • Holiday 2015 Wrap-Up
  • Top 16 Disruptors for 2016
  • Top Five Retail Technology Trends in Asia
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Executive Summary

Agenda
  • About the Fung Group/Li & Fung
  • About Fung Business Intelligence Centre (FBIC)
  • Top 16 Emerging Global Technology Trends for 2016
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Executive Summary

  • Burberry reported flat comps for its third fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2015.
  • Comps beat consensus estimates and improved versus the previous quarter.
  • Sales in China returned to growth, but negative comps in Hong Kong softened the company’s overall performance.
  • Continued investment in digital and mobile contributed to sustaining Burberry’s sales at the global level

Executive Summary

  • The UK’s biggest grocery retailer, Tesco, reported UK comps of (1.5)% and group comps of (0.5)% for its third fiscal quarter ending November 28, 2015.
  • Performance was much improved for the subsequent Christmas period: in the six weeks through January 9, UK comps rose by 1.3% and group comps rose by 2.1%.
  • Tesco is the third of the big four UK grocers to report on Christmas trading, and it follows Sainsbury’s and Morrisons in reporting better-than-expected results. The fourth, Asda, will report Christmas-period trading in February.
  • Christmas 2015 was the first Christmas in which Tesco’s turnaround plan has really had a chance to impact results; the company’s “new” CEO, Dave Lewis, joined in September 2014. Lewis’s strategy includes selectively lowering prices, simplifying ranges and closing some underperforming stores.
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Executive Summary

  • ASOS reported that total group revenue for the four months ending Dec. 31, 2015, was up 23% in reporting-currency terms and 27% on a constant-exchange-rate basis.
  • Retail sales results were driven by the performance in the US and the EU.
  • Price differentiation helped sales, but affected retail gross margin.
  • ASOS remains committed to expanding in its core markets.

Executive Summary

  • Associated British Foods (ABF), the owner of Primark, reported total revenue growth of (2)%, or 3% at constant exchange rates, for its first fiscal quarter ending January 2, 2016.
  • Primark’s quarterly sales were up 3%, or 7% at constant exchange rates.
  • Operating margins were lower year over year as a result of the stronger US dollar; Primark sources much of its merchandise in dollars. But the reduction in margin was less than anticipated due in part to a “well-managed stock position” that resulted in fewer markdowns.

Executive Summary

  • The majority (66%) of the 32 companies we tracked that have provided holiday updates have either reported declines in holiday comps or noted that they had a worse-than-expected holiday season in 2016.
  • Weak store traffic, heavy promotions across categories and sales volatility throughout the season were the common challenges mentioned by retailers.
  • A few retailers had a positive holiday, including Amazon, The Children’s Place, Francesca’s, Gap, Lululemon Athletica, PVH and Steve Madden. Many of these companies updated their outlook based on positive holiday results. In addition, Costco’s December results were better than expected, and the company saw positive traffic trends.
  • While the results reported so far do not paint an optimistic picture for 2017, it is important to note that many big retailers have yet to release their holiday figures. Some of them could post positive results, which would somewhat alter the current outlook for 2017.
  • That said, disappointing holiday results for many department stores and specialty retailers—against a favorable macro backdrop and positive weather trends—point to structural challenges in retail, which suggests a difficult 2017.

Click here to read Coresight’s coverage on US holiday retail and gain key retail insights for 2019 and prior years.

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Executive Summary

Agenda:

  • Market Insights Nuggets from the Holiday Season
  • Consumer Insights Macro Trends and Outlook

Click here to read Coresight’s coverage on US holiday retail and gain key retail insights for 2019 and prior years.

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Executive Summary

  • British fashion retailer Next reported that Next Brand full-price sales were down 0.4% for 4Q17. This was well below analysts’ expectations.
  • Following the 4Q17 trading results, the company has lowered its central guidance for FY17 sales, profit before tax (PBT) and earnings per share (EPS). Next now forecasts total full-price sales growth for the Next Brand will be down 1.0%, PBT down 3.6% year over year and EPS down 0.6%.
  • Next expects FY18 to be another challenging year. Following the devaluation of the pound, the company expects to increase product prices by up to 5%, which management expects to depress sales revenue by approximately 0.5%.