Executive Summary

  • Michael Kors’ 3Q15 EPS was $1.59 versus consensus of $1.46.
  • Total revenue in the Americas increased by 0.4%, to $1.06 billion. European revenue grew by 14.3%, to $276.0 million, and revenue in Japan increased by 59.1%, to $25.5 million.
  • Comps were down 0.9% in the period versus guidance that called for a mid-single-digit decline and consensus of (4.4)%. Comp trends improved sequentially.
  • Management provided 4Q15 guidance for EPS of $0.93–$0.97 versus consensus of $1.00. Comps are expected to be flat and total revenues are expected to be $1.13–$1.15 billion versus consensus of $1.16 billion.
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Executive Summary

  • LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported 16.4% revenue growth for the year through December 2015. Organic revenue growth for the year was 6%.
  • Revenue of €35.7 billion was marginally above the consensus estimate of €35.6 billion.
  • Basic EPS fell by 36.9%, to €7.11, below the consensus estimate of €7.31.
  • The company noted “strong progress” in Europe, the US and Japan; a normalization of demand for its Wines & Spirits segment in China; and a positive impact from exchange rates.
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Executive Summary

  • Online grocery retailer Ocado today reported revenue growth of 16.7%, and its second year of net profit, for the year ending November 2015.
  • Basic EPS rose by 62%, to 2.01p, in line with consensus estimates.
  • Active customer numbers and order volumes grew by double digits, but average order sizes declined slightly in a deflationary market.
  • The company did not meet its goal of signing an agreement to license its technology to an international retailer by year-end, but said that it continues to aim for multiple license agreements over the medium term.
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Executive Summary

  • In its first reported quarter following Google’s restructuring into two divisions, Alphabet reported 4Q15 revenues of $21.3 billion, up 18% year over year and far exceeding the consensus estimate of $16.9 billion.
  • Diluted non-GAAP EPS were $8.67, up 28.3% year over year and exceeding the consensus estimate of $8.09.
  • Revenue drivers were mobile search, YouTube and programmatic advertising.
  • Aggregate paid clicks increased by 31% year over year, and paid clicks on Google websites increased by 40% year over year alongside decreases in cost per

Executive Summary

  • Catalyst offers a broad product line of RFID systems for inventory management, omni-channel operations, customer experience and loss prevention.
  • The company, a division of Li & Fung, and has more than 60 employees and offices in the UK, the US, China and France.
  • Catalyst provides end-to-end support and in-depth employee training on the use of all its systems.
  • Catalyst has seen early success in testing its smart technology with Lucky Brand Jeans, which plans to start using RFID as a benchmark against manual stock counts.
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Executive Summary

  • In 4Q15, real estate investment company General Growth Properties reported strong, 14.2% funds from operations (FFO) revenue growth, up from $357 million a year earlier.
  • Diluted FFO EPS increased by 13.8%, to $0.43 from $0.38 in the prior year period, beating the consensus estimate of $0.42.
  • The company had revenue of $644.6 million for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $625.8 million.
  • General Growth Properties expects continued growth in 2016 despite challenging macroeconomic conditions. It raised its full-year EPS guidance to $1.52–$1.56, compared with the consensus estimate of $1.54 and prior guidance of $1.51–$1.55.
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Executive Summary

  • Founded in 2000, Dutch omni-channel fashion brand Suitsupply aims to persuade men to buy suits online.
  • The company has rapidly expanded internationally.
  • It competes in the midmarket on price, but in the high-end market on quality.
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Executive Summary

  • Real estate investment company Simon Property Group reported fourth-quarter funds from operations (FFO) of $2.40 per share, in line with the consensus estimate of $2.40, but below the $2.47 per share recorded for the same quarter a year ago.
  • Total revenue rose at a favorable rate of 6.4% year over year, to $1.38 billion, meeting the consensus estimate of $1.38 billion.
  • For the fiscal first quarter of 2016, Simon Property Group forecasts FFO in the range of $10.70 to $10.80, lower than the consensus estimate for earnings of $10.89 per share.
  • Simon Property Group declared a dividend of $1.60 per share, an increase of 14.3% year over year.
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Executive Summary

  • Colgate-Palmolive reported solid 5.0% organic fourth-quarter 2015 revenue growth, led by emerging markets, however sales were a shade below the consensus estimate.
  • Adjusted EPS, excluding charges for an accounting change in Venezuela and a restructuring program, were $0.73, beating the consensus estimate by a penny.
  • Sales grew the fastest in Latin America and at Hill’s Pet Nutrition products, and the company gained share in toothpaste and manual toothbrushes in 2015.
  • Colgate-Palmolive expects continued organic growth in 2016 despite challenging macroeconomic conditions, and a low-single-digit decline in EPS, with the midpoint of the adjusted range nine cents below the consensus estimate of $2.94.

Executive Summary

  • Amazon reported EPS of $1.00 for the fourth quarter of 2015, well below the consensus estimate of $1.55. Higher fulfillment expenses and technology and content expenses weighed on profits.
  • Revenues came in slightly below expectations, at $35.7 billion, an increase of 22% versus the year-ago period, and were led by Amazon Web Services sales, which were up 69%.
  • In 2015, worldwide Prime memberships increased by 51%. They increased by 47% in the US and even faster internationally.
  • For the first quarter of 2016, management expects total sales of $26.5–$29.0 billion, representing growth of 17%–28%, versus consensus of $27.68 billion. Operating income is expected to be between $100 million and $700 million versus consensus of $665.3 million.

Executive Summary

  • Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba reported that fiscal-third-quarter net sales were up 32% year over year, to ¥5 billion (US$5.33 billion), beating consensus estimates of ¥33.2 billion (US$5.13 billion).
  • The company reported core EPS (excluding onetime items) of $0.99 for the quarter, up 27% year over year, beating the consensus of $0.89.
  • Gross merchandise volume (GMV) was up 23% year over year, to $149 billion, versus consensus of $155.2 billion. The number of active buyers in the period increased by 22% year over year, to 407 million, versus consensus of 386 million.
  • Mobile monthly active users (MAUs) increased by 48%, to 393 million in December, which accounted for an increase of 192% in the company’s mobile revenue.

Executive Summary

  • H&M reported revenue that was up 19%, to SEK180.9 billion (US$21.7 billion) for fiscal year 2015, and revenue that was up 14%, to SEK48.7 billion (US$5.8 billion) for the fourth quarter, but both periods’ results missed consensus estimates.
  • Profit after tax was also below consensus; it was up 5% for fiscal year 2015, but down 11% for the fourth quarter.
  • The company reported earnings per share of SEK12.63 (US$1.51) for the full year, an increase of 5% versus the prior year, but below the consensus estimate.
  • The strong US dollar affected profitability during the fiscal year by increasing purchasing costs, while unseasonably warm weather in November affected sales in H&M’s core markets.
  • Store and online expansion contributed to sales growth in a number of markets during the fiscal year, and the company plans continued expansion during fiscal year 2016a
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Executive Summary

  • Under Armour reported fourth-quarter EPS of $0.48 versus the consensus estimate of $0.46.
  • Total revenue was up 31% year over year, to $1.17 billion, compared to expectations of $1.12 billion. Excluding currency effects, sales were up 33%.
  • Sales in the footwear category led growth, increasing by 95% due to the success of the Stephen Curry signature basketball line. Apparel sales increased by 22% and accessories sales by 23%. International sales increased by 70% in the period.
  • Full-year guidance calls for total revenue of $4.95 billion versus consensus of $4.91 billion and operating income of $503 million. That represents sales growth of 25% over the prior year and 23% growth in operating income, in line with the company’s financial targets.

Executive Summary

  • Coach reported fiscal-second-quarter 2016 EPS of $0.68, excluding onetime items, versus the consensus estimate of $0.66.
  • The period represented improvement in the company’s turnaround plan, which it began to implement several years ago. The company’s store channel improved, led by full-price stores, while outlet stores also improved, despite lower tourist traffic and a highly promotional environment.
  • Total sales were up 4%, or up 7% on a constant-currency basis, to $1.27 billion. Coach brand sales declined by 3%, to $1.18 billion, while Stuart Weitzman sales totaled $94 million.
  • Coach maintained its full-year revenue guidance (on a constant-currency basis) and its operating margin guidance, though it is raising its forecast for operating income based on second-quarter results for the Stuart Weitzman business. Total revenue is expected to increase in the low single digits, while operating margins are expected to be in the mid- to high teens.

Executive Summary

  • eBay reported fourth-quarter 2015 EPS of $0.50, in line with consensus expectations.
  • Gross merchandise volume (GMV) was up 5% year over year, to $21.86 billion versus consensus of $22.02 billion. The number of active users in the period increased by 5%, to 162 million, from 159 million in the year-ago period, and was versus consensus of 160.9 million.
  • The company provided first-quarter 2016 guidance for EPS of $0.43–$0.45 versus consensus of $0.48. Total revenues are expected to be $2.05–$2.10 billion versus consensus of $2.16 billion.
  • Full-year guidance calls for EPS of $1.82–$1.87 versus consensus of $1.98. Total revenue is expected to be $8.5–$8.8 billion, compared to expectations of $8.99 billion.
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