Executive Summary

  • JCPenney reported 4Q15 adjusted EPS of $0.39 versus the consensus estimate of $0.22. Adjusted EBITDA was $381.0 million versus consensus of $324.3 million.
  • Total revenue was $4.0 billion versus expectations of $3.99 billion. Comps were up 4.1% versus consensus of 3.9%. Home, Sephora, footwear and handbags were the top-performing categories.
  • Full year guidance calls for EPS to be positive versus consensus of $(0.28). Comps are expected to be up 3%–4%. Free cash flow is expected to improve year over year.
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Executive Summary

  • Loblaw reported 4Q15 adjusted EPS of C$0.88, an increase of 6.0% and below the consensus estimate of C$0.90. The company reported that 4Q15 revenue increased by 2.3%, to C$10.9 billion, beating the consensus estimate of C$10.8 billion.
  • GAAP net income was down 34.4%, to C$128 million, due to the impact of write-downs and special items.

 

 

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Executive Summary

  • Foot Locker reported 4Q15 revenue of $2.0 billion, up 5.0% year over year, in line with the consensus estimate.
  • The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.16 for the quarter, up 16.0% year over year and beating the consensus estimate of $1.12. The upside was driven by sales in the basketball and running footwear segments. Comparable-store sales increased by 7.9%, beating the consensus of 5.9% and in line with guidance for a mid-single-digit increase.
  • For 2016, Foot Locker expects a mid-single-digit comp increase, in line with the consensus estimate of 4.7%. EPS is projected to grow in the double digits versus analysts’ expectations of a 10.8% increase, to $4.75.
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Executive Summary

  • Baidu’s gross merchandise value totaled ¥7 billion (US$2.3 billion) for 4Q15, an increase of 397% year over year. Total revenues rose by 33.1% year over year. 4Q15 declined 15.7% year over year, excluding an exchange of Qunar shares with Ctrip.
  • The contribution from mobile climbed to 56%. However, margins compressed due to higher transaction services and iQiyi-related costs.
  • 1Q16 total revenues are forecasted to increase by 21.1%–25.5% year over year, to ¥4–¥16.0 billion (US$2.4–US$2.5 billion).

Executive Summary

  • Grupo Pão de Açúcar reported flat 4Q15 revenues of BRL$19.7 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of BRL$19.9 billion. EPS was BRL$0.55, falling far short of the consensus estimate of BRL$0.99.
  • GPA’s consolidated same-store sales declined 2.3% in 4Q15, and 1.2% overall for 2015, due mostly to the decline in sales of durable goods. During 4Q15, GPA opened 25 new stores, 24 of which were food retailers.
  • In 2016, the company intends to continue to focus on price competitiveness during Brazil’s economic slowdown.
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Executive Summary

  • Woolworths reported 1H16 EPS of A$0.73 before significant items, a decrease of 33.5% and below the consensus estimate of A$0.76. EPS, after significant items, was A$(0.77).
  • The company reported that total 1H16 revenue decreased by 1.4%, to A$32.0 billion, in line with the consensus estimate. Revenue excluding automotive fuel was up 1.2%, to A$29.5 billion. The company reported a net loss of A$972.7 million in 1H16, due to the impact of significant items.
  • The company expects 2H16 to remain challenging, with no significant improvement in comps.
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Executive Summary

  • Gap reported 4Q15 EPS of $0.57 versus the consensus estimate of $0.56. On February 8, management updated its quarterly earnings guidance to $0.56–$0.57.
  • As reported on February 8, quarterly comps were down 7% and total sales were down 6.8%, to $4.39 billion. By brand, Gap comps were down 3%, Banana Republic comps were down 14% and Old Navy comps were down 8%.
  • FY16 guidance calls for EPS of $2.20–$2.25.
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Executive Summary

  • Kohl’s reported 4Q15 revenues of $6.4 billion, up 0.8% from $6.3 billion in the year-ago period and slightly above the consensus estimate. Reported adjusted EPS was $1.58, down 13.8% from $1.83 in 4Q14 but $0.02 above consensus.
  • The company reported quarterly comps of 0.4%, which represented the fifth consecutive quarter of positive comps. However, the comp growth was below management’s expectation.
  • The company guided for adjusted EPS of $4.05–$4.25 and flat–1% comp sales growth for 2016.

 

 

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Executive Summary

Agenda
  • About Fung Business Intelligent Centre(FBIC)
  • Top 16 Global RETAIL Trends for 2016
  • Stores are the New Engagement/Retailtain-me!
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Executive Summary

  • Chico’s reported 4Q15 adjusted EPS of $0.05 versus estimated EPS of $0.00. Net revenue for the quarter was $627.4 million, down 4.5% year over year from $657.9 million in 4Q14.
  • The fall in revenue was due to a decline of 3.2% in comparable sales and a decrease in sales of the Boston Proper line.
  • Chico’s guided for fiscal 2016 comps “flat to slightly down,” a flat gross margin, an operating margin approximately 100 basis points higher, and a $0.09 increase in EPS to $0.84.

Executive Summary

  • Soriana reported 4Q15 revenues of MXN$30.8 billion, in line with the consensus estimate and up 7.3% year over year. Bloomberg calculates EPS of MXN$0.73, flat with the consensus estimate and up just MXN$.01 from last year.
  • Private consumption remained strong in Mexico despite global monetary policies and a strengthened US dollar. Soriana’s comps increased by 6.2% in 4Q15 and by 5.6% in 2015.
  • Soriana acquired 143 stores from Controladora Comercial Mexicana in 4Q15 and opened four new units, for a total of 11 new units in 2015.
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Executive Summary

  • Carter’s reported 4Q15 revenue of $866.5 million, down 0.3% year over year but beating the consensus estimate of $854.4 million. (There was an additional week in 2014, so 4Q15 revenue was up 5.0% on a 13-week aligned basis.) On a constant-currency basis, revenue increased by 1.0% in the quarter.
  • The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.40 for the quarter, up 6.1% year over year and above the consensus estimate of $1.29. The upside was driven by the Carter’s retail and OshKosh retail segments.
  • The company provided diluted EPS guidance for 2016 of $4.98–$5.07, up 8%–10% year over year but short of the $5.12 consensus estimate. Revenue is expected to increase by 6%–7% year over year, to $3.19–$3.22 billion, in line with the consensus estimate of $3.20 billion.

Executive Summary

  • Sears reported 4Q15 revenues of $7.3 billion, down 9.8% year over year and beating the consensus estimate by about $50 million. Adjusted EPS, excluding significant items, was $(1.70), ahead of the $(2.62) consensus estimate, compared to $(0.34) a year ago.
  • Comps declined by 7.1%, based on a decline of 7.2% for Kmart and 6.9% for Sears Domestic. Although comps improved in 4Q versus the prior three quarters, the unseasonably warm weather and promotional environment brought higher markdowns and hurt margins.
  • In 2016, management aims to accelerate the company’s transformation and improve gross margin in order to return to profitability and generate positive adjusted EBITDA.
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Executive Summary

  • Tumi reported 4Q15 revenues of $167.7 million, up 2.3% year over year and slightly above the consensus estimate of $164.1 million. Revenues increased by 4.4% on a constant-currency basis. Adjusted EPS was $0.37, up 5.7% year over year and ahead of the consensus estimate of $0.32.
  • Comps for direct-to-consumer channels decreased by 4.6% and decreased by 3.4% on a constant-currency basis, based on a 5.6% decrease in full-price sales, a 6.0% increase in outlet sales and a 14.8% decrease in e-commerce sales. Direct-to-consumer comps were up 7.0% in euros.
  • 2016 sales are expected to increase by 4%–6% on flat comps, and EPS is expected to be $0.93–$0.97, compared to $0.93 for 2015.

Executive Summary

  • MercadoLibre reported 4Q15 revenues of US$180.7 million, up 12.0% in USD and 69% in local currencies, beating the consensus estimate of US$170.0 million. EPS was US$0.88, up 15.8% and beating the consensus estimate of US$0.67.
  • Total payment volume through MercadoLibre’s online-payment system, MercadoPago, increased by 97.0% in local currencies and 41.7% in USD in 4Q15.
  • In 2015, MercadoLibre’s net revenues grew by 17.1% year over year to US$651.8 million, and the company launched in three new countries in 2015 including Bolivia, Paraguay and Guatemala.
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