Executive Summary

  • Baidu reported 3Q17 revenues reached ¥23.5 billion, up 28.7% year over year and in line with the consensus estimate. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS of ¥25.94, up 161.5% year over year, to beat the consensus of ¥13.48..
  • The significant rise in earnings was primarily driven by the disposal of Baidu Deliveries, as well as revenue growth and improvement in the operating margin.
  • Management expects the topline for 3Q17 to be in the range of ¥22.23–¥23.41 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 22%–29%.

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Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses recent efforts by startups and large retailers to take the pain out of returning purchases.
  • Amazon will own about 44 cents out of every e-commerce dollar spent in the US this year, up from 38 cents last year, according to new estimates from research firm eMarketer.
  • Hudson’s Bay Company said that it was selling off its flagship Lord & Taylor department store to WeWork, an office-sharing startup. Lord & Taylor will rent out about a quarter of the building, where it will operate a pared-down department store.
  • UK retail sales grew by 4.6% year over year in September, comprising 1.6% real-terms growth and a 3.0% rise in prices. Grocery store sales grew by 1.3%, while sales at large clothing chains grew by 7.2% and Internet retail sales grew by 14.1%.

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Executive Summary

  • Amazon reported 3Q17 EPS of $0.52, flat year over year but beating the $0.07 consensus estimate. Net sales (including Whole Foods Market) were $43.7 billion, up 33.7% year over year and beating the $41.6 billion consensus estimate.
  • Subscription services was the fastest-growing segment, growing by 59% in the quarter, followed by Amazon Web Services (AWS) at 42%. Amazon also broke out $1.3 billion of revenue from its physical stores.
  • Guidance for 4Q17 calls for revenues of $56.0–$60.5 billion, above the $54.2 billion consensus estimate, and for operating income of $300 million–$1.65 billion, whose midpoint is below the $1.50 billion consensus estimate.

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Executive Summary

  • UK-based department store chain Debenhams reported gross transaction value sales of £2,954 million for FY17, up 2.0% year over year, and above the consensus estimate of £2,947 million.
  • FY17 statutory revenues came in at £2,335 million, up 1.1% year over, and group comparable-store sales decreased 0.2% year over year on a constant-currency basis. UK reported revenues were down by 0.7% and UK comparable-store sales were flat year over year.
  • The FY17 gross margin contracted by 50 basis points to 12.4% and underlying EPS decreased by 14.7% year over year.
  • For FY18, Debenhams forecasts gross margin erosion of 25 bps year over year and an increase in total costs of 1.0%–2.0% year over year. Management did not issue sales guidance.

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Executive Summary

  • The New York FGRT team attended the grand opening celebration of Target’s new store in Herald Square in New York City last week.
  • The new location is one of Target’s small-format stores. It has 50,000 square feet of space and is the company’s third store in Manhattan and its 17th in New York City.
  • By 2019, Target plans to open 130 small-format stores, which generate about twice the sales per square foot as traditional stores.
  • The new Herald Square Target has fast-moving items such as New York City souvenirs, Halloween supplies and prepared food on the ground floor, with groceries, apparel, electronics and household items one floor below.

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Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses FGRT’s top digital retail trends for the holiday season.
  • US retail sales climbed 1.6% in September as reconstruction and cleanup efforts in hurricane-devastated areas likely boosted demand for building materials and motor vehicles. Sales were also buoyed by a surge in receipts at service stations, which reflected higher gasoline prices after Hurricane Harvey disrupted production at oil refineries along the Gulf Coast.
  • French supermarket giant Carrefour has launched a new app that allows customers to deliver orders to other customers. The app is called Merci Voisin, which is French for “Thanks, neighbor.”
  • Indian ride-hailing company Ola announced that it has closed $1.1 billion in fresh financing, led by Tencent. The funding round is the largest in the company’s six-year history and its first major raise since November 2015.

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Executive Summary

  • Unilever reported 3Q17 sales of €13,166 million, well below the consensus estimate of €14,206 million and down 1.6% year over year.
  • Underlying sales growth was 2.6%, below the consensus estimate of 4.4%.
  • The group maintained its forecast for full-year underlying sales growth of 3%–5%.

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Executive Summary

Private-label goods capture a minority share of the US grocery market, but there are five specific factors that could boost sales of these products:

  • Rising food-price inflation may prompt American shoppers to trade down from branded grocery products.
  • Expansion of grocery discounters Aldi and Lidl in the US could fuel competition in private label.
  • Amazon’s acquisition of Whole Foods Market could jumpstart Amazon’s grocery private-label offering.
  • Retailers could capitalize on heightened consumer demand for more fresh, organic and natural foods.
  • Private labels could capture growth in the meal-kit market. Kroger and Albertsons are two grocery retailers that are already tapping this category.
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Executive Summary

  • Carrefour reported that 3Q17 net sales were up just 0.4%. Net sales were up 1.9% at constant currency.
  • In France, comparable sales growth slowed to (0.9)%, from 1.3% in 1H17.
  • Comparable sales were down in French hypermarkets and supermarkets, in part, management said, because of the timing of a company promotion.

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Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • About the Team
  • The Mall Environment Today
  • The Changing Consumer
  • Opportunities for Retailers
  • Top In-Store Technologies
  • The Store Formats of the Future
  • Global Trends
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Executive Summary

  • Zalando expects to report 3Q17 revenues of €1,064–€1,081 million, according to preliminary figures, representing growth of 27.5%–29.5% year over year.
  • The company expects to achieve 3Q17 adjusted EBIT of €(5.0)–€5.0 million, corresponding to an adjusted EBIT margin of (0.5)%–0.5%.
  • The company will report full and detailed 3Q17 results on November 7, 2017.
  • Zalando will enter the beauty market in spring 2018 to tap into the online beauty shopping opportunity in Europe and complement its fashion assortment.

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Executive Summary

  • Groupe Casino reported that 3Q17 revenues were up 1.9% from the year-ago period and ahead of the consensus estimate. Comparable sales increased by 2.2%.
  • Comps in France grew by 0.6% and comps in Latin America were up 2.0%.
  • Cdiscount comps grew by an impressive 18.4%.

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Executive Summary

  • ASOS grew revenues by 33% in the year ended August 31.
  • Strong international sales growth drove the company’s top-line performance.
  • The company raised its FY18 sales growth guidance to 25%–30%.

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Executive Summary

Coresight Research’s monthly reports keep you up to date on US and UK retail sales, US retail traffic and in-store metrics, selected US retailers’ same-store sales and key global consumer indicators. Click here to view our full collection of Monthly Reports.

Our US Monthly Retail Sales and Traffic Report reviews year-over-year changes in selected store-based metrics, including sales, traffic and conversion rates.

Highlights from our September Retail Traffic report:

  • US retail sales fell unexpectedly in August. On a month-over-month basis, total retail sales decreased by 0.2% in August and amounted to $474.8 billion.
  • On a year-over-year basis, total retail sales increased by 3.3% in August and retail sales excluding autos increased by 1.5%.
  • Only four out of 13 major store categories posted negative sales results compared with July. E-commerce and auto sales fell the most. Sales at nonstore retailers dropped by 1.1% month over month in August. Hurricane Harvey, which significantly impacted Texas in the last week of August, contributed to sluggish auto sales.
  • According to RetailNext, store sales and traffic metrics worsened from July to August. Retail traffic declined by 7.7% year over year. Average transaction value was down 2.1% year over year, while sales per shopper fell by 2.0%. Total transactions declined by 7.5%.
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