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1Q20 US Earnings Season Wrap-Up: Reviewing the Covid-19 Impact

First-quarter 2020 retail earnings include the negative impact on sales caused by the coronavirus outbreak. We assess the recent performance of US retailers in terms of revenues, earnings per share and comps, considering consensus estimates and year-over-year changes. With retail sectors weathering the Covid-19 crisis in different ways, sales declines are now easing due to stores reopening post lockdown, but the pace of recovery will vary.

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Five Trends Shaping Apparel Sourcing

The apparel sourcing industry is experiencing uncertainty due to unpredictable changes to tariffs and trade, the widespread coronavirus pandemic and fast-moving upgrades of technology in the supply chain. We outline five key apparel-sourcing trends and discuss how apparel retailers and brands can adapt to consumer expectations while controlling sourcing costs.

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May 2020 US Retail Sales: Total Year-over-Year Growth Turns Positive; Declines at Discretionary Sectors Ease While Food Stores and Nonstore Retailers See Strong Growth

Most sectors witnessed the easing of sales declines in May, as US consumers resumed spending following the reopening of stores post lockdown. Growth in total US retail sales excluding gasoline and automobiles turned positive on a year-over-year basis, driven by double-digit growth at food stores, home-improvement retailers and nonstore retailers.

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US Apparel Retail: Post-Crisis Outlook

We explore the impacts of the coronavirus crisis on the apparel retail sector and present an outlook for the remainder of 2020 based on a three-phase V-shaped recovery. To analyze the sector, we look closely at select US retailers, including American Eagle Outfitters, Gap Inc. and Hanesbrands. We summarize our key estimates for 2020 in an infographic.

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Earnings Insights 1Q20, Week 4 and Wrap-Up: Retailers Cite Pent-Up Demand as They Report Higher-than-Anticipated Sales Productivity Rates

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary at major US retailers as they report first-quarter 2020 earnings. We condense what retail companies are reporting, with a focus on the impact of the coronavirus crisis. This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the week ended June 14, including Five Below, Macy’s and PVH Corp. This is the fourth and final report in the first-quarter Earnings Insights series. As such, we also summarize the performance of retailers reported in the prior weeks.

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US Store Closures 2020 Outlook: Covid-19 Update—Prolonged Impact Set To Drive Up Closures

This report assesses the outlook for physical retail over the remainder of 2020—updating our previous expectations in light of the escalating impact of the coronavirus crisis. We compare year-to-date store closure data with 2019 and discuss a potential rise in bankruptcies, which may become a reality for many struggling retailers. We also update our prediction for the total number of closures we expect to see in the US in the full-year 2020.

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Retail Robustness Index: June 2020 Update—Assessing Resilience as Stores Reopen

Coresight Research’s Retail Robustness Index evaluates the 100 largest US retailers (by revenue) on their ability to weather dramatic shifts in demand as the Covid-19 lockdowns began. This report updates the scores based on financial reports and retailer store-reopening announcements in the context of easing lockdown. Alongside the report, our infographic summarizes key changes since we first published our Retail Robustness Index.

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