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Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) 4Q18 Results: Beats Consensus Estimates, Guidance in Line with Consensus

Tractor Supply reported Q4 revenues of $2.13 billion, up 9.2% year over year and above the $2.10 billion consensus estimate.

Comps were 5.7%, beating the 3.7% consensus estimate and comprising a 3.0% increase in average ticket and a 2.6% increase in transaction count.

All geographic regions and all major product categories had positive comps. Continued strength in everyday merchandise in the consumable, usable and edible categories helped drive comps, in addition to strong sales of winter and other seasonal products.

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US Holiday Comparable Sales Growth Results: A Mixed Picture So Far

As US retailers report comparable sales for the 2018 holiday season, we’re seeing a mixed bag of results. Some retailers such as Costco and Boot Barn did well, reporting strong comparable sales growth and beating consensus estimates. Retailers such as Target, Barnes & Noble and Buckle showed sequential comparable sales growth improvement, but not as strong. Comparable sales at Macy’s and L Brands weakened sequentially.

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The Off-Price Report: TJX Companies, Ross Stores and Burlington Stores Set for Sustained Growth…but at Whose Expense?

US off-price market leaders TJX Companies (which operates the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls banners), Ross Stores (which operates the dd’s Discounts and Ross Dress for Less banners) and Burlington Stores are expected to grow fast in the next few years. Consensus estimates suggest that, in aggregate, these three retailers will add an additional $13 billion in annual US sales between 2017 and 2021, equivalent to a 27% uplift. In this report, we analyze cross-shopping data, consumer profiles and geolocation data to explore which apparel rivals could lose out as these off-pricers grow.

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