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Deep Dive: Retail X Factor— The US Economy

This is the first report in our X Factor series in which we identify themes that we believe will be critical for the US retail landscape throughout 2017 and beyond. In this report, we look at the macroeconomic backdrop in the first quarter of 2017, and analyze the economic outlook and how this could impact retail for the rest of the year.

Latest Trends and Developments in O2O Retailing

JD.com plans to open 1 million brick-and-mortar convenience
stores through franchising within five years. It invested in Yonghui
Superstores, a supermarket chain in China.
• This follows JD.com’s announcement to open 10,000 home
appliance stores across China.
• The stores will use JD.com’s data analytics and logistics system
to better target consumers and fulfil orders.
• The stores can set up virtual stores on JD.com.

1Q2017 Recap and Spring Retail Update (Planalytics)

Spring Retail Update
• Recent sales and earnings results indicate a continuing
struggle in retail.
• Store closures, bankruptcies and management changes
are shaking up the industry.
• The media barrage of the retail industry doesn’t help
perception.
• Uncertainty exists in terms of the forward picture;
things probably get worse before they get better.

Global Retail Reinvented (Bloomberg)

The Art of Decluttering
• The typical American wardrobe has 120
items today vs 36 items in 1930.
• 80% of them are unworn.
• Marie Kondo’s “the Life Changing
Magic of Tidying Up” brought
minimalism to the mainstream.
• Cladwell helps consumers create a
minimalist wardrobe.

Australian Apparel Market Primer

Australian retailers are relatively positive about their prospects for 2017. In Deloitte’s most recent Retailers’ Christmas Survey,
64% of respondents are expecting their earnings to increase by 5% or more in 2017, with such levels of optimism at their
highest since we started this survey five years ago. However, this optimism needs to be tempered somewhat with realities of the
macro-economic outlook. The ‘wealth-factor’ arising from appreciating house prices that has buoyed parts of the market is
starting to slow down, whilst we continue to see low wage growth. Against this background, the retail environment in Australia
is likely to remain challenging, particularly with the continued influx and expansion of global retailers in Australia.