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Insight Report

Holiday 2019: US Retail Outlook Preview

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Coresight Research

Key Points

This report offers our first look at expected US retail demand this holiday season, ahead of our fuller holiday outlook report, publishing in later September.

  • Coresight Research estimates a 3.5-4.0% year-over-year increase in US retail sales during the holiday months of November and December.
  • Lower gas prices are a plus for holiday spending, providing as much as an incremental 50 basis points to sales.
  • Consumer confidence remains high, although it has experienced greater volatility since the escalation of the US-China trade conflict.

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