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January 2019 US Monthly Retail Traffic and In-Store Metrics Report: Post-Holiday Fatigue and Inclement Weather Drive Underwhelming January Traffic

All regions posted sales and traffic declines in January compared to the same period last year. The Midwest registered the largest year-over-year decline in traffic of all regions at 17.5%, owing to severe weather conditions. With warmer and wetter conditions, the South experienced the lowest decline, at 5.8%.

The Midwest also recorded the largest year-over-year in-store sales decline among all regions, down 16.8%, whereas the West, which enjoyed warmer and drier conditions, reported the smallest decline, down 1.4%.

Walmart (NYSE: WMT) Fiscal 4Q19 Earnings: Beats EPS Estimates from Strong Expense Management

Walmart reported fiscal 4Q19 revenues of $138.8 billion, up 1.9% year over year and in line with the consensus estimate. Total revenues excluding foreign currency effects were $140.5 billion, up 3.1%. Membership and other income was $1.1 billion, down 6.0%.

Walmart U.S. e-commerce sales increased 43%, benefiting from strong online grocery sales.

U.S. comps increased 4.2%, ahead of the 3.1% consensus estimate.

2019 Tax Tracker #2: Year-over-Year Decline in Tax Filings Starts to Moderate

Each year, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) reports tax return filings and refunds on a weekly basis, starting in February and going into the April 15 filing deadline. It is still early in the filing season, so there will likely be more variability to the data. Filings are likely delayed due to confusion over the new tax rates and the government shutdown, which made it difficult for accountants to get answers to help people prepare income tax returns.

December 2018 US Retail Sales: Year-Over-Year Growth Slows to Just 1.0% as Most Sectors Experience a Sluggish December

Our measure of core retail sales is non-seasonally-adjusted sales excluding gasoline and automobiles. This metric increased by just 1.0% year over year in December, slowing dramatically from the growth in preceding months, including a 5.2% uplift in November. This resulted in total holiday-period sales coming in at $693 billion, up by just 2.9% year over year.