Executive Summary

  • Today, Salesforce and Demandware announced that Salesforce will acquire Demandware for $75 per share in cash, for a total transaction value of $2.8 billion.
  • Salesforce, which calls itself the number one customer relationship management (CRM) software company, provides a suite of cloud-based platforms and tools for businesses.
  • Demandware is a leader in enterprise cloud commerce solutions viaits Demandware Commerce Cloud platform.
  • The acquisition is expected to close during Salesforce’s fiscal 2Q17 (ending July) and raise Salesforce’s fiscal 2017 revenues by $100–$200 million, but reduce its full-year EPS by $0.07.
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Executive Summary

Coresight Research’s monthly reports keep you up to date on US and UK retail sales, US retail traffic and in-store metrics, selected US retailers’ same-store sales and key global consumer indicators. Click here to view our full collection of Monthly Reports.

Our monthly US Same-Store Sales Report reviews comparable sales metrics reported by Costco, Buckle and Cato.

Highlights from our June US Same-Store Sales report:

  • The earlier Easter weighed on results for some retailers in March. L Brands noted that it had a one-point negative impact, while Zumiez and Fred’s also called out an impact from the calendar shift of the holiday.
  • Costco’s comps were again negatively impacted by gas deflation and foreign exchange, which drove down transaction value by more than 3.5%.
  • March proved to be another challenging month for Gap, which saw negative comps across its brands. The company also noted that it closed out the month with higher inventory levels than planned, and that this will weigh on gross margins in the first quarter.
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Executive Summary

  • Vera Bradley reported fiscal 1Q17 EPS of $0.06 versus the consensus estimate
    of $0.05.
  • Total revenues were $105.2 million versus consensus of $106.6 million. Direct sales were $72.9 million, below consensus of $77.8 million, while indirect sales were $32.2 million, above consensus of $29.4 million. Comps declined by 6.7%, versus consensus of a 2% decline. Store comps declined by 3.8% and e-commerce comps declined by 11%.
  • Management provided 2Q17 guidance for EPS of $0.13–$0.15 versus consensus of $0.18. That is based on total revenues of $118–$123 million versus consensus of $123.1 million. The company maintained its full-year EPS guidance of $0.90–$0.98, versus consensus of $0.95. Total revenues are now expected to be $510–$520 million versus prior guidance of $510–$525 million; consensus is for revenues of $517.5 million.

Executive Summary

  • Michael Kors reported fiscal 4Q16 revenues of $1.20 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $1.15 billion and representing a 10.9% increase year over year. EPS was $0.98, beating the consensus estimate by a penny and representing an increase of 8.8% from EPS of $0.90 in the year-ago quarter.
  • Retail net sales increased by 22.0% in the quarter, driven primarily by e-commerce sales from the company’s digital flagships. Same-store sales grew by 0.3% in the quarter.
  • The company guided for flat revenues for FY17 and for EPS of $4.56–$4.64 for the fiscal year. The company announced that it had completed the acquisition of its Greater China licensee for $500 million in cash.

 

 

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Executive Summary

  • G-III Apparel Group reported record first-quarter net sales of $457.4 million, up 5.6% year over year and in line with the consensus estimate. EPS was $0.06, ahead of the $0.02 consensus estimate and compared to $0.15 in the year-ago quarter.
  • Although the retail business did not perform in line with plans, strength in the wholesale business more than offset the softness in retail, and management has taken measures that are expected to improve top- and bottom-line performance in the second half.
  • For the year, the company reiterated its FY17 revenue guidance of approximately $2.62 billion and EPS of $2.55–$2.62.
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Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • About Fung Global Retail & Technology
  • Addressing the Issues
  • Potential Solutions: The 3 Rs
  • What Li & Fung Is Doing.
  • Steps Forward
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Executive Summary

  • The US Bankruptcy Court in Delaware recently approved the liquidation of Sports Authority. Since the business will not be restructured or sold, Under Armour will recognize an impairment charge of $23 million in 2Q16 related to the liquidation. In addition, Under Armour will be able to recognize only $43 million of the $163 million in revenues it originally expected from Sports Authority in 2016.
  • As a result, Under Armour has revised its 2016 net revenue guidance from $5.0 billion to approximately $4.925 billion, representing revised year-over-year sales growth of 24% compared to 26% previously.

Executive Summary

  • Stores are offering sales on barbecue foods, patio furniture, sun protection and more for Memorial Day.
  • Many retailers are focusing on promoting their biggest sellers
    this week.
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Executive Summary

  • Big Lots reported adjusted 1Q16 EPS of $0.82 versus the consensus estimate of $0.70.
  • Total revenues were $1.31 billion versus consensus of $1.30 billion. Comps increased by 3% versus consensus of 2.2% and guidance for a low-single-digit increase. The comp increase was partially offset by fewer open stores, as total sales increased by 2.5% year over year.
  • Management provided 2Q16 guidance of $0.42–$0.47 versus consensus of $0.45. Comps are expected to be flat–2% versus consensus of 1.7%. Full-year guidance calls for EPS of $3.35–$3.50, up from prior guidance of $3.20–$3.35 and versus consensus of $3.31. Management reaffirmed its comp guidance; it expects comps to increase by low single digits versus consensus of 2%.

Executive Summary

  • This week, we published a major, 50-page report titled The Silver Wave: Understanding the Aging Consumer, which looks at the substantial demographic changes that countries, sectors and companies will face in the years ahead. In the report, we note that the group that includes those aged 65 and over will grow from 8% of the world’s population in 201, to 10% in 2025 to 13% in 2035.
  • According to an article in the Harvard Business Review, retailers must remember the shopping experience is not over when online customers click the “buy” button. Shoppers expect a seamless experience, and there is an “experience gap” as they wait for their product to arrive. That is a key time for retailers to provide a positive experience and deepen their relationship with customers.
  • French retail giant Carrefour and BNP Paribas are testing new technology that will combine payment functions with the retailer’s loyalty and couponing services in one application. By using only a PIN, customers can make payments at physical stores and online, irrespective of the bank they use, and still obtain their loyalty benefits from Carrefour.
  • The debut of the expanded Panama Canal locks in June will more than double the isthmus’s capacity for carrying cargo and will allow the canal to accommodate much larger tankers. The growth of the Panama Canal has triggered ports in the US, Caribbean and South America to expand in order to accommodate the greater influx of ships and compete for share of the traffic boom.

Executive Summary

  • For fiscal 4Q16, Deckers Brands reported adjusted EPS of $0.11 versus the consensus estimate of $0.05.
  • Total revenue was $378.6 million versus consensus of $362.1 million. Ugg sales totaled $245.6 million versus consensus of $220.5 million, while Teva sales totaled $59.1 million versus consensus of $56.1 million and Sanuk sales totaled $38.5 million versus consensus of $40.3 million.
  • Management provided 1Q17 EPS guidance of $(2.10)–$(2.20) versus consensus of $(1.46). Total revenue is expected to decline by 20%–25% versus analysts’ expectation of a decline of 1.7%. The expected decline is primarily due to the timing of order shipments between quarters. Full-year guidance calls for EPS of $4.05–$4.40 versus consensus of $4.58. Total revenue is expected to be flat–(3)% versus consensus of up by 4%.

Executive Summary

  • Burlington Stores reported 1Q16 adjusted EPS of $0.57 versus the consensus estimate of $0.48.
  • Total sales were $1.28 billion versus consensus of $1.27 billion. Comps were up 4.3% versus analysts’ expectation of 3.2% and guidance of 2.5%–3.5%.
  • FY16 guidance calls for adjusted EPS of $2.68–$2.78 versus prior guidance of $2.62–$2.72 and consensus of $2.72. Total sales are expected to increase by 7.1%–7.6% versus prior guidance of 6.5%–7.5%. Comps are expected to increase by 3.0%–3.5% versus prior guidance of 2.5%–3.5% and consensus of 3%.

Executive Summary

  • Chico’s FAS reported 1Q16 revenues of $643 million, down 7.8% year over year and below the consensus estimate of $669 million. EPS was $0.23, missing the consensus of $0.32, but was up 4.5% from $0.22 in the year-ago quarter.
  • The company has expanded its cost reduction and operating efficiency initiatives, which are expected to result in $50–$70 million in annual savings.
  • Same-store sales decreased by 4.2% in 1Q16, reflecting a reduced average-dollar sale and a slightly lower transaction count compared to 1Q15.

Executive Summary

  • Ulta Beauty reported 1Q16 EPS of $1.45 versus the consensus estimate of $1.29.
  • Total revenue was $1.07 billion versus consensus of $1.03 billion. Sales benefited from healthy consumer demand in the beauty category as well as from the company’s unique format and offering. Comps increased by 15.2%, driven by 11.0% growth in traffic and 4.2% growth in average ticket.
  • Management provided 2Q16 EPS guidance of $1.32–$1.37 versus consensus of $1.40. Total revenue is expected to be $1.04–$1.06 billion versus consensus of $1.03 billion. Comps are expected to increase by 11%–13%. Full-year guidance now calls for comp growth of 10%–12%, up from 8%–10% previously. EPS growth is expected to be in the low-20% range compared to prior guidance of 18%–20%.
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Executive Summary

  • Dollar Tree reported 1Q16 consolidated net sales of $5.09 billion, up 133.6% from the same period last year, including $2 billion in sales from acquired Family Dollar stores and new Dollar Tree stores. Revenues were in line with analysts’ estimates and were at the midpoint of the guidance range.
  • Reported EPS was $0.98 (or $0.89, excluding a onetime tax benefit), versus the consensus estimate of $0.81.
  • Dollar Tree’s comparable-store sales increased by 2.3% on a constant-currency basis, beating analysts’ estimate of 2.1%. This represents the 33rd consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales for Dollar Tree.
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