Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” looks at new data that indicate US shoppers are continuing to prioritize spending on leisure services, such as dining out, ahead of retail categories, such as apparel. In the letter, we outline two possible reasons for this ongoing shift in spending.
  • In a recent Daymon Worldwide survey of 7,000 global consumers ages 18–55, 35% of millennial and Gen X consumers polled said they prefer to buy sustainable products. However, the millennials surveyed were more likely than the Gen Xers to prefer buying products that directly benefit them, while the Gen Xers were more likely than the millennials to prefer buying from companies that support their community or give to charities.
  • India has loosened restrictions in order to become the most open economy for foreign direct investment (FDI). The country allows for automatic FDI approval for companies in the aviation sector and some other sectors, while defense, broadcasting, pharmaceutical and single-brand retail companies can increase their FDI with government approval.
  • Swedish retail giant H&M continues to bet on Latin America, opening a new store in Mexico, its 18th in the country. The new store is located in the Plaza Mayor in the city of León, and is H&M’s second store in the city. The company plans to open 11 new stores in Mexico during 2016. It opened its first store in the country in 2012.

Executive Summary

  • Terry Lundgren will retire from his position as CEO of Macy’s in the first quarter of 2017, but remain Executive Chairman.
  • At that time, Jeff Gennette will transition from his position of President to become the new CEO
  • Gennette was hired as the company’s President in 2014 as part of a succession plan enacted by the Board of Directors
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Executive Summary

  • Excluding the effects of local currencies against the Swedish krona, H&M’s 2Q16 sales in the UK were flat, compared with an increase of 5% for all of H&M’s markets. The UK is H&M’s third-largest market after Germany and the US.
  • Sales in March and April were significantly below the company’s plan, as they were negatively affected by unseasonably cool weather during the period. Sales improved in May, increasing by 9%.
  • H&M’s profit in 2Q16 fell by 17%, to SEK5.36 billion from SEK6.45 billion in the same period last year, versus expectations of SEK5.46 billion. Profit was affected by the continued negative impact of the US dollar, but also by increased markdowns and costs related to long-term investments, as well as by lower sales.
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Executive Summary

  • Today, the Fung Global Retail & Technology team attended the ribbon-cutting ceremony of New Lab, a multidisciplinary design, prototyping and advanced manufacturing hub located at the Brooklyn Navy Yard. The facility is part of an effort to bring technology and manufacturing jobs back to New York City.
  • Building 128, a former machine shop for shipbuilding, has been renovated and transformed into New Lab, which offers a total of 84,000 square feet of space to 50 companies.
  • Tenant companies are engaged in leading-edge technologies in fields such as robotics, nanotechnology, artificial intelligence and life sciences.
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Executive Summary

  • Technology is slowly becoming a welcome addition to seniors’ lives, enabling independence and “aging in place.”
  • Many seniors prefer to remain in their homes in later life, even if they are unable to care for themselves.
  • The most common type of disability among seniors in the US and the UK is difficulty with mobility.
  • New technologies and innovations are helping fulfill various needs that mobility-constrained seniors may have, and enabling them to lead a better quality of life.
  • Robotics and smart homes are helping address seniors’ physiological, social and safety needs, while virtual-learning platforms and social networks are helping fulfill their social and self-esteem needs.
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Executive Summary

  • This is the second report in our series on consumers aged 65 and older and their impact on economies, industries and companies worldwide.
  • Some seniors need specific care as a result of illness or disability, but many also look to in-home care or assisted living to help them deal with everyday living.
  • We estimate that global public spending on long-term health and social care totaled approximately $1.40 trillion in 2015, and we expect it to reach nearly $1.71 trillion in 2020.
  • On average, across 12 major economies, spending on long-term care accounts for around 1.7% of GDP.
  • More seniors are using care services overall, but we seem to be seeing a gradual global shift away from institutional care and toward in-home care.
  • The move toward in-home care has prompted the development of new technology products and services that enable seniors to live independently for longer, and families to participate more directly in administering care to their elderly loved ones.
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Executive Summary

  • Stores are offering sales on bathing suits, summer drinks, and cosmetics.
  • Many retailers are focusing on promoting their biggest sellers
    this week.
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Executive Summary

  • In New York this week, the Fung Global Retail & Technology team hosted an event called Breakfast with the Disruptors: Women-Led Beauty & Fashion Startups, which attracted a standing-room-only crowd of more than 150. The event featured presentations from seven women-led startups that competed for a $2,500 prize.
  • In a survey of more than 1,000 US consumers, 72% of respondents said they prefer to use a laptop or desktop to shop online. Only 28% said they prefer to use a tablet or smartphone. In addition, 42% said they have never used a tablet to shop online, while 32% said they have never used a smartphone to shop online.
  • Germany’s Metro Group is trialing robots from Starship Technologies to carry shoppers’ purchases through a store in Düsseldorf, so that customers can focus on “hands-free” shopping. These autonomous robots are also being tested to deliver online purchases to customers.
  • On June 10, messaging app Line kicked off its IPO, which is scheduled for July 14 and looks to raise $917 million with an initial share price of $26.21. The Japanese company plans to dual list on the Tokyo and New York Stock Exchanges. Line has 218.4 million active users, but added only 13 million new monthly active users last year.

 

Executive Summary

AGENDA
  • ABOUT US
  • THE STORES OF THE FUTURE
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Executive Summary

  • Kroger reported 1Q16 EPS of $0.70 versus the consensus estimate of $0.69.
  • Total revenue was $34.60 billion versus expectations of $34.88 billion. Comps excluding fuel were up 2.4% versus consensus of 2.5%.
  • Full-year guidance calls for EPS of $2.19–$2.28, consistent with prior guidance. The company believes EPS will be at the low end to the midpoint of that range, based on current fuel margin trends. Kroger expects fuel margins to be at or slightly below the five-year average. Management also reaffirmed its supermarket sales growth guidance of 2.5%–3.5%, excluding fuel.

 

 

Executive Summary

  • Rite Aid reported adjusted fiscal 1Q17 EPS of $0.01 versus the consensus estimate of $0.05.
  • Total revenues were $8.18 billion, up 23.1% year over year, versus expectations of $8.24 billion. Retail pharmacy segment revenues were $6.7 billion and increased by 0.4% year over year, along with an increase in same-store sales of 0.4%. The same-store sales increase was driven by a 0.1% increase in pharmacy sales and a 1.2% increase in front-end sales. Revenues in the pharmacy services segment, which was acquired on June 24, 2015, were $1.6 billion.
  • The quarter’s results reflect strong performance in the pharmacy services segment and the front-end business that was offset by pharmacy reimbursement rate pressure.
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Executive Summary

AGENDA
  • ABOUT US
  • GLOBAL RETAIL OVERVIEW
  • CONSUMER TRENDS
  • TAKING ACTION
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Executive Summary

Four-Quadrant Disruptors Framework with Women-led Startups
  • NEW RETAIL MODELS: HOW WILL THE CONSUMER SHOP IN THE FUTURE
  • ALL CHANNEL: The CONSUMER CAN SHOP WHEREVER + WHENEVER
  • EXPERIENTIAL RETAIL: MAKE THE STORE AN AWESOME PLACE
  • CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT: HOW DO YOU CONVERT THE CONSUMER
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Executive Summary

  • Inditex reported fiscal 1Q17 revenue of €4.9 billion, up 11.5% year over year and above the consensus estimate of €4.8 billion. Net income (GAAP) increased by 6.3%, to €554.0 million, above the consensus of €544.6 million. EPS was €0.18, an increase of 5.9% versus 1Q16 and in line with consensus.
  • Solid comps and an expanding geographical reach drove up revenue and profit. Tight control of operating expenses also contributed to the results.
  • The company will continue its revenue and store expansion in 2Q17. Analysts expect Inditex revenues to be up 9.8%, to €5.5 billion, and net income (GAAP) to rise by 4.2%, to €672.0 million, in 2Q17.
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