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Sector Overview: US Home and Home Improvement Retailers — Mixed Signals in a Time of Bounty

Annual growth in national spending on home improvement and repair is expected to decelerate in 2019, due to rising mortgage interest rates and flat home sales activity, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. Despite this deceleration, other indicators such as home prices, permit activity, and retail sales of building materials are expected to continue to strengthen and drive continued increases in spending in 2019.

Amazon Outpaces the UK and German E-Commerce Markets in 2018

We estimate that Amazon grew U.K. revenues 23.3% in 2018, just below 2017’s growth of 24.9% and faster than total U.K. Internet retail sales growth of 14.5% in 2018.
In Germany, Amazon revenues climbed 12.1% in 2018, according to our calculations. This compared to an estimated 9.4% increase in total Internet retail sales and Amazon Germany’s 17.5% growth in 2017.
In 2018, Amazon captured a 31% share of U.K. Internet retail sales and a 47% share of German Internet retail sales, according to Euromonitor International estimates.

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) 4Q18 Results: Beats Consensus Estimates, Guidance Below Consensus

North America revenues were $44.1 billion, up 18.3% year over year, posting operating income of $1.7 billion, compared to a profit of $1.7 billion in the year-ago quarter.
International revenues were $20.8 billion, up 15.5% year over year, posting an operating loss of $0.6 billion, compared to a loss of $0.9 billion in the year-ago quarter.
AWS revenues were $7.4 billion, up 45.3% year over year, posting an operating profit of $2.2 billion, compared to $1.4 billion in the year-ago quarter.

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) 4Q18 Results: Beats Consensus Estimates, Guidance in Line with Consensus

Tractor Supply reported Q4 revenues of $2.13 billion, up 9.2% year over year and above the $2.10 billion consensus estimate.

Comps were 5.7%, beating the 3.7% consensus estimate and comprising a 3.0% increase in average ticket and a 2.6% increase in transaction count.

All geographic regions and all major product categories had positive comps. Continued strength in everyday merchandise in the consumable, usable and edible categories helped drive comps, in addition to strong sales of winter and other seasonal products.

eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) 4Q18 and FY18 Results: Steady Growth, More Returns for Shareholders

eBay reported revenues of $2.88 billion in 4Q18, up 6.3% year over year and beating the consensus estimate of $2.86 billion recorded by Bloomberg. GMV was $24.6 billion, up 1% as reported and 2% on a currency-neutral basis. Gross margin increased 31 basis points to 78.5% and operating margin decreased 82 basis points to 23.7%. Non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 20.3% to $0.71, beating consensus of $0.68.

Sector Overview: North American Food Retailers — Cross-Channel Retailing Is Emerging as the Dominant Model

Each Sector Overview report provides an analysis of a particular retail sector or consumer market. This report covers the North American grocery sector, concentrating on the US. Our coverage focuses on supermarket retailers with some discussion of other grocery channels. Mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs and discount stores are covered in a separate Sector Overview report.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Bags Over 60 Shopko Stores After Bankruptcy Court Approves Bids

General merchandise retailer Shopko filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on January 16, 2019. The company attributed its petition for financial restructuring to “excess debt and ongoing competitive pressures.” The retailer stated it would close an additional 38 stores this year, in addition to the 67 previously earmarked for closure, relocate 20 optical centers to freestanding locations and auction off its pharmacy business.