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US Back to School 2020: The Outlook for Retail amid Uncertainty and a Gloomy Economic Backdrop

Launching our US Back to School 2020 series, we outline our expectations for the season this year, which is being shaped by the coronavirus crisis. We discuss the core market drivers behind our estimates of consumer spending in the US—including consumer focus on health and safety, the impact of Covid-19 on discretionary retail, potential school and college reopening models and the economic backdrop.

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1Q20 US Earnings Season Wrap-Up: Reviewing the Covid-19 Impact

First-quarter 2020 retail earnings include the negative impact on sales caused by the coronavirus outbreak. We assess the recent performance of US retailers in terms of revenues, earnings per share and comps, considering consensus estimates and year-over-year changes. With retail sectors weathering the Covid-19 crisis in different ways, sales declines are now easing due to stores reopening post lockdown, but the pace of recovery will vary.

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VF Corporation: A Timeline of Key Events

This report explores the recent history of VF Corporation, one of the world’s largest apparel, footwear and accessories companies. We look at key events over the last three years, during which time the company has undergone restructuring but remained committed to its sustainability and responsibility strategy. We also provide a timeline of VF Corporation’s product offering changes, executive changes and expansion over the past decade.

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Earnings Insights 1Q20, Week 4 and Wrap-Up: Retailers Cite Pent-Up Demand as They Report Higher-than-Anticipated Sales Productivity Rates

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary at major US retailers as they report first-quarter 2020 earnings. We condense what retail companies are reporting, with a focus on the impact of the coronavirus crisis. This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the week ended June 14, including Five Below, Macy’s and PVH Corp. This is the fourth and final report in the first-quarter Earnings Insights series. As such, we also summarize the performance of retailers reported in the prior weeks.

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Earnings Insights 1Q20, Week 1: What US Retailers Are Reporting on the Coronavirus Impact and Outlook

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary at major US retailers as they report first-quarter 2020 earnings. We condense what retail companies are reporting with a focus on the impact of the coronavirus crisis. This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the weeks ended May 17 and May 24, including Best Buy, Kohl’s and VF Corporation.

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4Q19 US Earnings Season Wrap-Up

Fourth-quarter 2019 retail earnings show that many companies across the retail industry saw strong growth. However, our coverage of the Coresight 100 reveals that the CPG and department-store sectors bucked this trend, with the latter continuing to struggle. Companies across the board have updated their guidance due to coronavirus disruption in the supply chain and demand in Asia, but we are yet to see updates based on the spread of the virus to the US, with the nation moving closer to lockdown.

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3Q19 US Earnings Season Wrap-Up

Third-quarter 2019 retail earnings show mixed results across categories. Our coverage of the Coresight 100 reveal most companies beat consensus, but there were sectors that fared much better than others—and luxury was one that did not meet expectations despite recent recovery.

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VF Corp (VFC) 3Q19 Results: Raises Guidance as Active Segment Propels Gains

VF Corp. reported adjusted fiscal 3Q19 EPS of $1.31, up from $1.01 in the year-ago quarter and above the $1.10 consensus estimate. Total revenues were $3.94 billion, up 8.0% year over year (10% at constant currency). Excluding Kontoor Brands (scheduled to be spun off at the end of April), revenues rose 12%.

By segment, Outdoor revenues rose 11% to $1.61 billion; Active revenues increased 16% to $1.14 billion; Work segment revenues rose 9% to $62.6 million and Jeans revenues declined 27% to $67.8 million. By channel, direct-to-consumer (DTC) rose 9%, Digital (within DTC) rose 21% and Wholesale increased 6%. By region, Asia Pacific sales rose 16%, led by China, up 23%; followed by a 9% gain in the U.S., 7% in the Americas (non-U.S.) and 4% in EMEA.

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