Showing 45 posts

UK Holiday 2018 Retail Sales and Trading Wrap-Up: December Growth Slows as Uncertainty Accelerates Structural Shift Away from the Midmarket

Momentum in the retail sector decelerated meaningfully in December, as measured by both value and volume (real terms). Value sales growth slowed from 4.2% in November to 2.1% in December. This was despite a number of retailers reporting a better month in December following an unusually tough November.

Across November and December in aggregative (our definition of the holiday period), sales were up 3.0% year over year.

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Primark (LSE: ABF) 1Q19 Trading Update: Store Expansion Lifts Sales

Primark increased its revenues 4% year over year, at both constant currency and actual exchange rates. This was below the consensus estimate of 5.5% constant-currency growth recorded by StreetAccount. Sales growth was driven by an increase in the retail selling space partially offset by a modest decline in same-store sales.
Operating margins improved due to lower purchasing costs (led by a weaker U.S. dollar) and better stock management, the company did not provide figures.
U.K. sales grew 1% year over year, which ABF claimed was ahead of the overall U.K. apparel market. The company pointed to positive U.K. comparable sales in September and October, a weak November and a December that exceeded its expectations.

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Primark Overview

• Ultralow price points support Primark’s decision not to sell online, as the costs
of fulfillment would erode margins
• The impulse buys that are made as shoppers browse the assortments would be
lost online
– There is no digital equivalent of piling baskets to overflowing as shoppers
walk the aisles
• A short-lived experiment to sell Primark products through ASOS was
abandoned in 2013

No sign of movement toward a multichannel proposition ever since

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Disruptors – Physical and Digital

– CVS Health: 37% of 2014 capex was on technology and
other corporate initiatives
– Nordstrom: 35% of 2014 capex; plans to spend $4.3 billion
(5% of sales) over next five years
– Walmart: 29% of 2014 US capex; spending “$1.2–$1.5
billion in e-commerce websites and mobile commerce
applications”
– Home Depot: “Tilting investments towards interconnected
retail and technology

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