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Sector Overview: Retail REITs — An Industry in Flux

For US retail REITs, occupancy rates are improving, vacancies are decreasing and rent asking rates are increasing, but store traffic and other metrics remain negative. REITs are welcoming non-traditional occupants, particularly food. Just 20% of “A” malls generate 72% of all mall sales in the US.

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Sector Overview: US Home and Home Improvement Retailers — Mixed Signals in a Time of Bounty

Annual growth in national spending on home improvement and repair is expected to decelerate in 2019, due to rising mortgage interest rates and flat home sales activity, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. Despite this deceleration, other indicators such as home prices, permit activity, and retail sales of building materials are expected to continue to strengthen and drive continued increases in spending in 2019.

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Amazon Outpaces the UK and German E-Commerce Markets in 2018

We estimate that Amazon grew U.K. revenues 23.3% in 2018, just below 2017’s growth of 24.9% and faster than total U.K. Internet retail sales growth of 14.5% in 2018.
In Germany, Amazon revenues climbed 12.1% in 2018, according to our calculations. This compared to an estimated 9.4% increase in total Internet retail sales and Amazon Germany’s 17.5% growth in 2017.
In 2018, Amazon captured a 31% share of U.K. Internet retail sales and a 47% share of German Internet retail sales, according to Euromonitor International estimates.

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Tapestry (NYSE: TPR) 2Q19 Results: Improved Margin Performance at Coach but Revenues Miss Consensus

At Coach, global comparable store sales rose 1%, led by outperformance in international and e-commerce channels. Business in Greater China accelerated and Coach’s business with the Chinese consumer increased. Comps were positive in Europe and Japan as well, offset by negative comps in North America and Korea. Comps declined 11% at Kate Spade as the business transitions to a new design team. Marketing to support the launch of Nicola Glass’s new collection was moved to the current quarter (3Q19), and the initial read is positive.

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