Insight ReportSeptember 2026 US Retail Sales Outlook: Mid-4% Growth Expected Despite Rising Downside Risks Prerana P Kotian, Data Analyst Sector Lead: Philip Moore, Global Head of Data and Managing Director of Market Research September 29, 2026 Reasons to ReadRead this report to discover answers to these and other questions: What are Coresight Research’s projections for year-over-year retail sales growth in each of the next 12 months? How has the proprietary Retail Growth Outlook Score changed compared to previous reporting periods? Which macroeconomic indicators are currently having the greatest impact on retail performance and consumer spending? Data in this report include: US retail sales forecasts; model-predicted vs. actual retail growth; labor force, wage, and inflation metrics; consumer sentiment and disposable income trends; housing market data. Alongside this report, you can access the data behind key charts and tables in the Excel download above. Other relevant research: Coresight Research monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators in the US. All our coverage of tariffs The US Retail Sales Databank features retail sales values and year-over-year growth, in total and by sector, by year and by month. This Databank is updated monthly. The Coresight Research US Consumer Survey Databank provides additional insight into US consumer behaviors from our weekly surveys. Our Weekly US Consumer Sentiment infographic series complements our survey reports with selected findings on consumers’ financial and economic expectations each week. Already a subscriber? Log in You are currently viewing a preview of this report. Please select an access option to view the full report. Hide Options - Show Options + Get unlimited access to all our research with one of our subscription plans. View Subscription Plans or Contact us to purchase this report. Contact us ✕ This document was generated for