Executive Summary

Online apparel and accessory rental services are proliferating. Apparel rental models allow customers to borrow items for a set time period, typically at a meaningful discount to the products’ retail price. Millennials appear to be driving the growth of the apparel rental segment, and three key millennial lifestyle trends are underpinning the segment’s development:

  • The “Instagram effect”—or the desire to be perceived on social media as living a fun, interesting, experience-rich life—combined with celebrity culture and the selfie phenomenon necessitate that millennials have an ever-changing, on-trend wardrobe.Apparel rental services allow consumers to wear a changing selection of major brands without having to spend as much as they would if they bought the items outright.
  • Millennials value experiences over acquiring products. Apparel rentals allow millennials to wear high-end brands at lower cost, and so funnel more of their spending toward services and leisure experiences. Meanwhile, the low priority that millennials attach to owning products makes renting apparel a more viable option for them.
  • Millennials are considered budget conscious, so renting items makes sense for them, especially when it comes to high-worth and expensive items that are used only occasionally.
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Executive Summary

  • British online fashion retailer ASOS reported £606 million in retail revenues in 1Q17, up 36% year over year. At constant currency, 1Q17 revenues increased 30% year over year.
  • Strong sales momentum was driven by 18% growth in the UK and 41% growth in international retail sales, at constant currency.
  • Following the strong 1Q17 performance, ASOS has increased FY17 revenue guidance and now expects growth to fall in the range of 25–30%, up from 20–25% previously.  The company also stated that FY17 capital expenditures will increase to £150-£170 million, up from the previous range of £120-£140 million.

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Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses the cool and innovative gadgets and technology on display at this year’s CES trade show in Las Vegas.
  • Despite reports of a strong holiday season, some retailers are not feeling so jolly. The “Amazon effect” is taking its toll on brick-and-mortar stores, including major brands, but retail has always been in a constant state of change, according to former Walmart US CEO and President Bill Simon.
  • UK retail sales rose by 1.7% year over year in the five weeks from November 27 through December 31. Over the three months ended December 31, food sales grew by 2.4% year over year and nonfood sales grew by 1.3%. During the period, online sales grew by 7.2%, while in-store sales declined by 1.2%.
  • As it deepens its integration with brick-and-mortar stores, Alibaba Group is leading a bid to privatize department store operator Intime Retail for about $2.55 billion. Alibaba originally took a stake in the retailer in 2014, which gave Alibaba access to Intime’s inventory and allowed its online customers to pick up orders from Intime’s physical stores.

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Executive Summary

  • Primark’s parent company, Associated British Foods (ABF), reported its 1Q17 trading statement for the 16 weeks ended January 7, 2016. This report will focus only on Primark, ABF’s retail segment.
  • At constant currency, Primark’s sales grew by 11% during the period and by 12% on a comparable-week basis. As reported, sales grew by 22% during the period and by 23% on a comparable-week basis.
  • UK comps for the period were “good”, but were not disclosed. In Germany and the Netherlands, comps declined due to a rapid increase in selling space.

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Executive Summary

  • UK clothing-and-food retailer Marks & Spencer (M&S) reported that 3Q17 sales were up 5.9% as reported and up 4.3% on a constant currency basis.
  • The closely watched UK Clothing and Home segment posted impressive comparable sales growth of 2.3%, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.2% growth. The Food segment reported comps of 0.6%, beating expectations of a slight decline.
  • In 3Q17, the company’s total UK sales increased by 4.5% year over year and by 1.3% on a comparable basis. International sales increased by 18.9% year over year and by 2.9% on a constant currency basis.

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Executive Summary

  • UK department store retailer Debenhams reported group comps of +0.5% at constant currency, surpassing the consensus estimate of (0.9)%, in the 18 weeks ended January 7, 2017.
  • UK comps grew by 1.0% and online sales jumped by 13.9%—an acceleration from last year’s +12.1%.
  • Gross margin guidance for FY17 remains in the range of 25bps to (25)bps, as previously announced by Debenhams.

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Executive Summary

  • The UK’s largest retailer, Tesco, reported 3Q17 group comps of 1.5%, slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of 1.3%. In the UK, 3Q17 comps came in at a robust 1.8%.
  • In the subsequent six-week Christmas trading period ended January 7, UK comps came in at 0.7% against more demanding comparatives.
  • The company’s 3Q17 performance marked its eighth consecutive quarter of positive comparable volume growth in the UK.

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Executive Summary

  • Sainsbury’s, the UK’s second-largest grocery retailer, posted comps of 0.1% for 3Q17, marginally ahead of expectations of (0.8)%.
  • Total sales were up 0.8%, excluding fuel and the impact of pharmacy disposals.
  • Argos, which Sainsbury’s acquired in 2016, saw comps of 4.0% and total sales growth of 4.1%.

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Executive Summary

  • British online fashion retailer Boohoo.com reported a 52% year-over-year increase in revenues on a constant currency basis. This was ahead of consensus expectations. Strong sales were driven by a broader product range offering, growth across all geographic regions and particularly robust momentum in the US.
  • The 3Q17 retail gross margin declined by 260 basis points year over year, to 54.4%, due to planned investment in price and promotions.
  • Boohoo.com raised its revenue guidance for the fifth time this year. The company now expects FY17 revenue growth of 43%–45% versus 38%–42% previously.

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Executive Summary

  • Metro Group reported net sales of €17.0 billion in 1Q17, down 0.6% from the same period last year, and almost in line with consensus estimates. Comps edged up by 0.1% year over year.
  • Metro Cash and Carry posted sales of €8.0 billion, down 0.3% year over year, which the company attributed to sales of its operations in Vietnam and negative foreign-currency effects.
  • Sales at Media-Saturn were flat at €6.9 billion, and sales at Real declined by 4.0% to €2.1 billion.

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Executive Summary

  • The UK’s fourth-largest grocery retailer, Morrisons, reported comps of 2.9% for the nine weeks ended January 1 to comfortably beat 4Q17 consensus of 1.1%. This marked an acceleration from comps of 1.6% in the prior quarter.
  • Total sales were up 2% excluding fuel.
  • The company attributed the solid performance to an improved offer, more competitive pricing and serving customers better.

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Executive Summary

  • At the start of every new year, millions of consumers resolve to join a gym and get healthy. This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses the US healthy-living industry and the scale of consumer spending on various categories within the sector.
  • Amazon said it shipped 50% more items for third-party vendors this holiday season than it did last holiday season and that it doubled the number of items shipped in 2016 overall. The company’s statement offers new data points for investors who are hoping Amazon will post a profit for the fourth quarter when it announces results in coming weeks.
  • The UK’s fourth-biggest grocer, Morrisons, has slashed the prices of about 800 items in its latest move to compete more aggressively on price. To help customers calculate the cost of items in their basket easily, Morrisons has also simplified the prices of more than 5,000 items so that they are in “round pounds.”
  • China’s third-biggest search engine, Sogou, expects to hold a US IPO to sell about 10% of its shares at a valuation of around $5 billion. The move represents a challenge to Chinese search leader Baidu in the mobile market.

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Executive Summary

AGENDA

  • Holiday Wrap-Up: Season Was a Success, Driven by a Last-Minute Surge of Shoppers
  • Consumers Were Willing to Wait for the Best Deals, Which Resulted in a LastMinute Rush in Sales
  • Favorable Holiday Calendar; Day Before Christmas Was a Saturday
  • Cold Weather Caused an Uptick in Outerwear Sales
  • Holiday Online Sales Growth Outpaced In-Store Sales Growth
  • Retailers Managed Online/Offline Balance Better than in Years Past
  • Amazon Won with Its “Best Ever” Holiday Season

Click here to read Coresight’s coverage on US holiday retail and gain key retail insights for 2019 and prior years.

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Executive Summary

  • UK-based discount retailer B&M European Value Retail reported a very strong Christmas trading period, with 3Q17 revenues up 21.8% as reported and up 20.5% at constant currency.
  • UK revenues, which make up the bulk of group revenues, were up 20.7% in 3Q17, with UK comps up by an impressive 7.2%.
  • Year-to-date group revenues are up 20%.

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Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses US economic and consumer trends in 2016 and provides an outlook for consumer spending in 2017 and beyond.
  • A jump in consumer spending in the final stretch of December significantly offset a slow start to the US holiday shopping season, and is likely to help many retailers beat sales forecasts, according to industry research groups.
  • The National Retail Federation said more people shopped online throughout Black Friday weekend than shopped in physical stores. However, some stores, such as T.J.Maxx and Marshalls, are bucking the trend: these stores do not care about online sales because their businesses are based on the real-life retail experience.
  • UK department-store chain House of Fraser recently opened its long-anticipated first Chinese store, in Nanjing. House of Fraser was acquired by China’s Sanpower Group in 2014 and the first Chinese opening had originally been planned for 2015. The company is expected to carve space for House of Fraser stores in its existing shopping centers, rather than buying or renting new sites.

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