Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses which retailers might benefit if Sears were to close completely following its bankruptcy filing this week.
  • Walmart lowered its earnings predictions for fiscal year 2019, adjusting for the financial impact of its biggest-ever, hard-fought acquisition: Flipkart, an Indian online retailer. But the company’s outlook for 2020 is optimistic.
  • Amazon’s first European pop-up store will open in London’s Baker Street for five days, until October 27. The 3,000-square-foot space will showcase Amazon Fashion’s Find, Truth & Fable and Meraki private labels, in addition to international brands.
  • Alibaba has merged its Ele.me food delivery business and its Koubei food and lifestyle unit in order to ward off competition from Meituan Dianping, a group-buying site. The new entity will be a “local service company” and will expand beyond the food market.

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Executive Summary

Coresight Research tracks store closures, openings and bankruptcies for a select group of retailers in the US and the UK.  Our Weekly Store Tracker focuses on department stores and specialty retail stores, including, but not limited to, those selling softlines, hardlines, consumer electronics, groceries and furniture.

Click here to view our full collection of Weekly US and UK Store Trackers.

Highlights from this week’s Store Tracker:

  • Year-to-date (YTD) 2018, the number of US store closure announcements stands at 4,972 and the number of store openings is 2,919.
  • Sears Holdings has filed for bankruptcy protection and will close 142 stores by the year end.
  • YTD in the UK, there have been 1,314 store closure announcements and 777 store opening announcements.
  • Claire’s denied reports this week that it was considering closing some of its 350 UK stores.
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Executive Summary

Walmart hosted its 2018 Investment Community Meeting in Bentonville, Arkansas, on October 16. Key messages from the presentations made at the meeting include:

  • Execution: Management cited 16 consecutive quarters of positive comps as evidence of its momentum and said that investments made over the past few years are paying off.
  • Unique assets: The company has built a portfolio of assets that include shopping, social media and loyalty, financial services, health and wellness, digital entertainment, advertising, logistics and home and personal services.
  • Reduced earnings guidance due to acquisition of Flipkart: The company reduced its FY19 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance to $4.65–$4.80 from $4.90–$5.05 previously. Walmart expects comparable sales of 2.5%–3% and e-commerce net growth of 35% in FY2019.
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Executive Summary

  • Groupe Casino reported steady growth in French comparable sales, which rose by 1.9% year over year in 3Q18.
  • General merchandise website Cdiscount saw revenues fall but gross merchandise volume increase, due to a higher proportion of third-party sales. Comp growth in Latin America accelerated.
  • In France, Monoprix recently started selling via Amazon Prime Now and management reported that the number of orders placed through Prime Now had exceeded its projections.
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Executive Summary

The Coresight Research team will be attending and participating in the Groceryshop 2018 conference, which runs October 28–31in Las Vegas. The team behind the Shoptalk retail and e-commerce conference founded this new event, which will cover the disruption of the grocery, consumer packaged goods (CPG) and related industries.

  • The conference is expected to bring together 1,000 attendees and more than 150 speakers. Discussion topics will include the transformation of the retail industry, including convenience stores, supermarkets and e-commerce, and changes in the production and distribution of CPGs across multiple retail verticals. Additionally, the event will cover shifts in consumers’ shopping behavior and how they want to shop in the future in both brick-and-mortar and online formats.
  • On October 28, Coresight Research CEO and Founder Deborah Weinswig will emcee a startup pitch competition featuring 12 innovative, early-stage technology companies that provide solutions to solve major problems in e-commerce, grocery retail, and/or the food or CPG sector.The participating startups are Adrich, Forager, IceCream Labs, IntraPosition, Locai Solutions, Nextuple,Observa, Packyge, Shelf.ai, Simplista,Tastry and Tochize.
  • In this report, our second in a series of daily Countdown to Groceryshop 2018 reports, we profile Shelf.ai, which facilitates grocery conversational commerce, making it easy for retailers to integrate voice-based shopping capabilities into existing e-commerce and loyalty systems and intuitive for shoppers to build orders by speaking.
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Executive Summary

The Coresight Research team will be attending and participating in the Groceryshop 2018 conference, which runs October 28–31in Las Vegas. The team behind the Shoptalk retail and e-commerce conference founded this new event, which will cover the disruption of the grocery, consumer packaged goods (CPG) and related industries.

  • The conference is expected to bring together 1,000 attendees and more than 150 speakers. Discussion topics will include the transformation of the retail industry, including convenience stores, supermarkets and e-commerce, and changes in the production and distribution of CPGs across multiple retail verticals. Additionally, the event will cover shifts in consumers’ shopping behavior and how they want to shop in the future in both brick-and-mortar and online formats.
  • On October 28, Coresight Research CEO and Founder Deborah Weinswig will emcee a startup pitch competition featuring12 innovative, early-stage technology companies that provide solutions to solve major problems in e-commerce, grocery retail, and/or the food or CPG sector.The participating startups are Adrich, Forager, IceCreamLabs, IntraPosition, Locai Solutions, Nextuple, Observa, Packyge, Shelf.ai, Simplista, Tastry and Tochize.
  • In this report, our first in a series of daily Countdown to Groceryshop 2018 reports, we profile Locai Solutions,whose turnkey e-commerce platform is specifically designed for grocery retail. The fully customizable, end-to-end solution combines an engaging shopper-facing front end with fulfillment management software. The front end provides personalized product and recipe recommendations as well as endless-aisle capability.
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Executive Summary

Alibaba’s 11.11 Global Shopping Festival, also known as Double 11 or Singles’ Day, takes place on November 11 every year and it has become the world’s biggest 24-hour online sale.This report series covers the various shopping festivals and developments in New Retail that are taking place in the lead up to this event.

  • AliExpress announced a series of wide-ranging initiatives to boost this year’s sales during Double 11, including extensive pre-sale activities, enhanced language support on its website and extending it by a day.
  • The Indonesian Government will take part in this year’s Double 11and two videos featuring Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo will be broadcast at the event’s gala show.
  • Alibaba will merge its food delivery service Ele.me with restaurant review and lifestyle unit Koubei to establish a local service company with the aim of making urban life “better and more convenient.”
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Executive Summary

  • A sequentially stronger performance in France helped Carrefour comfortably beat expectations on sales in 3Q18.
  • Comparable sales in France were up 1.6% versus the consensus estimate of 0.8% and compared with (0.1)% in 1H18.
  • Latin America comp sales were up 9.7% versus consensus of 9.3%. Brazil comps were up 5.1%, in line with expectations.
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Executive Summary

  • ASOS grew revenues by 26% in the year ended August 31.
  • Solid UK retail sales growth drovethe company’s top-line performance.
  • The company kept its current year and medium-term guidance unchanged.
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Executive Summary

This is the first report in our US Retailers’ Timelines series. In this report, we examine a timeline of key events in Walmart’s recent history that have shaped it into the retailer it is today.

  • The years between 2016 and 2018 defined Walmart’s strategy of managing its store fleet efficiently and strengthening its e-commerce business.
  • To bolster its global online proposition and compete with Amazon, Walmart undertook a series of strategic acquisitions during these years.
  • In May 2018, Walmart acquired a majority stake in Indian e-commerce marketplace Flipkart.
  • In 2017, the retailer acquired Bonobos, a US-based e-commerce company focused on men’s apparel, and Moosejaw, an outdoor apparel retailer.
  • In 2016, Walmart acquired online women’s clothing and accessories retailer ModCloth and e-commerce platform Jet.com.

This timeline has been updated.  Click here to view the updated timeline

To view more research related to Walmart, click here.

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Executive Summary

Coresight Research’s monthly reports keep you up to date on US and UK retail sales, US retail traffic and in-store metrics, selected US retailers’ same-store sales and key global consumer indicators. Click here to view our full collection of Monthly Reports.

Our monthly US Same-Store Sales Report reviews comparable sales metrics reported by Costco, Buckle and Cato.

Highlights from our September US Same-Store Sales report:

  • Costco’s same-store sales growth in September this year was below the growth reported in August but was well ahead of consensus.
  • Costco reported strong growth across all segments including food and sundries, hardlines, softlines and ancillary business.
  • Among the specialty retailers, Buckle’s comparable sales fell by 2.4% year over year in September, compared to a 0.7% decline reported in August 2018. L Brands posted strong positive growth in comps compared to the 1%growth posted in August. Cato’s comps fell marginally.
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Executive Summary

This report is part of our Retailers’ Timelines series. In this report, we examine key events in Home Depot’s recent history.

  • Home Depot undertook meaningful steps to strengthen its online business and supply chain in the years between 2015 and 2018.
  • In December 2017, Home Depot acquired The Company Store, an online home decor retailer from Hannover Direct.
  • In January 2017, Home Depot invested in a wind-powered renewable energy project operated by EDP Renewables.
  • In January 2015, Craig Menear became the Chairman of Home Depot, effective from February 2015.

Click here to read our full collection of Retailers’ Timelines.

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Executive Summary

The Coresight Research team attended XRC Labs’ Cohort 6 Demo Day at Parsons School of Design, New York City, on September 27.

  • Pano Anthos, Founder and Managing Director of XRC Labs, kicked off the event with his talk on how the store—as a format and an experience—is evolving and how retail is in a dramatic state of change.
  • Cohort 6 is a mix of startups from the artificial intelligence (AI), second-hand retail, personalization, health and wellness, interactive tech and digital marketing sectors.
  • The 10 participating startups provide solutions that use data analysis for better decision making and for improving customer experience. These startups were: Fabulyst, Holi Chow, IRL, Mayawell, RELOVD, RetailDeep, Simplista, VirtualAPT, VisuWall and eat2explore.
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Executive Summary

Sears Holdings has filed for bankruptcy. In this report, we consider which major retailers could gain sales should all Sears department stores ultimately close.

  • Walmart and Target would be in strong positions to pick up sales: Coresight Research’s consumer data shows high apparel cross-shopping rates at Walmart and Target among Sears shoppers, and over half of Sears stores have a Walmart or Target store nearby.
  • Among the department stores, JCPenney looks best placed to capture shopper dollars in the event of a total Sears closure. JCPenney sees high rates of apparel cross-shopping with Sears, it registers the highest geographical overlap with Sears stores, and its position is bolstered by the recent strengthening of its appliances offering.
  • Home Depot and Lowe’s would likely capture some share of appliance sales should Sears close down: 40% or more of Sears stores have such rivals within two miles. Warehouse clubs Costco and Sam’s Club see a much lower geographical overlap with Sears stores.
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Executive Summary

  • On Friday, October 12, Walmart announced that it had acquired lingerie and sleepwear retailer Bare Necessities for an undisclosed amount.
  • Bare Necessities, founded in 1998, offers more than 100,000 SKUs from more than 160 brands, including an extensive assortment of bras, swimwear, shapewear and sleepwear. Intimates is a category that has been rapidly growing online and has complex sizing and highly specialized products.
  • Walmart commented that the acquisition of Bare Necessities fits into its broader acquisition strategy, which includes two types of companies: (1) category leaders; and (2) digital brands that offer products not available anywhere else. Bare Necessities falls under the first category.

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