Market Navigators/Market OutlookMarket Navigator: US Retail—A Fracturing Market Headed Toward $6 Trillion John Mercer, Head of Global Research and Managing Director of Data-Driven Research July 16, 2026 Reasons to ReadDiscover where US retail is heading—and which companies, channels and consumer trends will define the next phase of growth in this in-depth, data-driven report. Read this report to find answers to these and other key questions: How are shifting consumer spending patterns creating winners and losers across US retail, and what should retailers do about it? How should retailers deploy tariff refund capital to drive competitive advantage? Which retailers have captured the most retail growth, and what do their strategies have in common? How is quick commerce evolving from a convenience premium to a baseline consumer expectation? How is the K-shaped consumer economy reshaping demand, and what does this mean for retail strategy? Companies mentioned in this report include: Ace Hardware, Albertsons Companies, Aldi, Alimentation Couche-Tard, Amazon, American Eagle Outfitters, Apple, Best Buy, BJ’s Wholesale Club, Burlington Stores, ByteDance/TikTok Shop, Costco Wholesale, CVS Health, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, eBay, Etsy, Family Dollar, Gap, Giant Eagle, H-E-B, The Home Depot, Hy-Vee, Kohl’s, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize, The Kroger Co., Levi Strauss & Co., Lowe’s Companies, Lululemon Athletica, Macy’s, Meijer, Menards, Nordstrom, PDD Holdings/Temu, Publix Super Markets, Ross Stores, Sephora, Shein, Target, The TJX Companies, Tractor Supply Co., Ulta Beauty, Wakefern Food Corp., Walgreen Co., Walmart, Wayfair and more. Data in this report include: Retail market and sector sizes and forecasts; retailer revenue and market share trends; analysis of absolute revenue growth by retailer, 2019–2025; store count and total sales area by retailer; sales per store and sales densities; monthly store traffic trends; leading online retailers’ e-commerce revenues and GMV; consumer survey data on where Americans shop for food and nonfood products; category-level online versus in-store purchase penetration; and consumer perceptions of physical stores versus e-commerce across key shopping factors. Already a subscriber? Log in You are currently viewing a preview of this report. Please select an access option to view the full report. Hide Options - Show Options + Get unlimited access to all our research with one of our subscription plans. View Subscription Plans or Purchase this report. Buy Now This document was generated for