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The Off-Price Report: TJX Companies, Ross Stores and Burlington Stores Set for Sustained Growth…but at Whose Expense?

US off-price market leaders TJX Companies (which operates the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls banners), Ross Stores (which operates the dd’s Discounts and Ross Dress for Less banners) and Burlington Stores are expected to grow fast in the next few years. Consensus estimates suggest that, in aggregate, these three retailers will add an additional $13 billion in annual US sales between 2017 and 2021, equivalent to a 27% uplift. In this report, we analyze cross-shopping data, consumer profiles and geolocation data to explore which apparel rivals could lose out as these off-pricers grow.

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