Tariff Refunds in 2Q26: Billions Booked by Retailers and Brands, Guidance Split
9 minutes

Tariff Refunds in 2Q26: Billions Booked by Retailers and Brands, Guidance Split

Insight Report
Primary Analyst:
Abhinav Tagore
Analyst
Contributors
Primary Analyst:
Abhinav Tagore, Analyst
Other Contributors:
Aditya Kaushik, Analyst
Charlie Poon, Analyst
Sujeet Naik, Analyst
Sumesh C S, Analyst
9 minutes

Reasons to Read

Discover how tariff refunds are affecting retailers’ earnings, margins and forward guidance.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • How large are the tariff-refund benefits being recognized by retailers and consumer-goods companies?
  • How is Target treating its $994 million in IEEPA refunds in Q2 earnings and full-year guidance?
  • How are TJX and Ross Stores incorporating tariff refunds into their forward earnings guidance?
  • Which retailers and brands are excluding potential future tariff refunds from guidance, leaving the benefits as potential upside?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Walmart, Target, TJX, Ross Stores, VF Corporation, Levi Strauss, Crocs, Coty, Deckers, Adidas

Data in this report include: Earnings-season tariff refunds and company commentary; refund amounts and earnings/margin impacts; treatment of refunds in forward guidance.

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