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May 2023 Leading Indicators of US Retail Sales: Projecting Mid-Single-Digit Growth Amid Declining Consumer Sentiment

What's Inside

The Coresight Research Leading Indicators of US Retail Sales series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. This report analyzes the latest available data as of May 19, 2023.

Data in this research report include:

  • Proprietary Coresight Research projections for retail sales growth by month for the next 12 months
  • US actual retail sales versus model predicted sales
  • US unemployment rate and labor force participation rate
  • US average hourly wages for all private-sector employees
  • US annualized real disposable income per capita

Other relevant research:

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