Executive Summary

  • Kohl’s reported fiscal 1Q19 revenues of $4.09 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $3.95 billion, and down 2.9% year over year. The company reported 1Q19 EPS of $0.61, lower than the consensus estimate of $0.68, and down 4.7% from the year ago period.
  • Comparable sales decreased 3.4% for the quarter compared to the consensus estimate of (0.1)%.
  • For fiscal FY19, the company lowered its earnings per diluted share from $5.80-6.15 to $5.15-5.45, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.03.

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Executive Summary

Luckin Coffee, China’s answer to Starbucks, raised some $571.2 million through an initial public offering (IPO) of American Depository Receipts for 33 million of its shares on the Nasdaq, pricing its shares at the top end of the pre-listing debut range of $17. The amount raised could hit $650.8 million if the underwriters exercise their option to purchase additional shares.

  • Luckin Coffee provides fast delivery services to attract customers looking for convenience.
  • The company uses a pick-up store format (that also offers delivery) that typically has low rent and fit-out costs to allow the company to expand rapidly at lower cost.
  • Luckin Coffee will use the funds raised through the IPO to open more stores and fund promotions for the coming three to five years.
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Executive Summary

  • JCPenney reported fiscal 1Q19 revenues of $2.44 billion, lower than the consensus estimate of $2.48 billion, and down 5.6% year over year. The company reported 1Q19 EPS of $(0.46), lower than the consensus estimate of $(0.39).
  • Comparable sales decreased 5.5% for the quarter compared to the consensus estimate of (4.2)%.
  • The company expects to be cash flow positive for fiscal year 2019.

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Executive Summary

The Coresight Research team is in Las Vegas this week, attending and participating in the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) 2019 RECon event, running May 19-22. These are some of the highlights from day 2:

  • Retail investment in artificial intelligence (AI) is now greater than that of the banking sector.
  • AI will become retailers’ go-to technology to strip friction from brick-and-mortar retail.
  • Western retailers will increasingly adopt China’s “New Retail” as consumers further opt for digital, and especially mobile, shopping.

You may also be interested in our coverage from Day 1 and Day 3 of the RECon event.

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Executive Summary

Chinese consumers are buying more and more online, and fresh food has become a new category they increasingly look for.

  • The gross merchandise volume (GMV) of China’s fresh food e-commerce market is expected to increase 160% to ¥162.0 billion in 2019 from ¥62.2 billion in 2016, according to iiMedia.
  • Most fresh food e-commerce shoppers are millennials—those born in the 1980s and 1990s. Convenience and time-saving are key factors driving consumers to buy fresh food online.
  • There are three primary types of fresh food e-commerce operations in China: vertical fresh food e-commerce specialists, comprehensive e-commerce platforms and online-to-offline (O2O).
  • Due to the perishable nature of fresh food, the category requires hefty investments to build the cold chain logistics needed to complete last-mile delivery. Consumers’ expectation of fast delivery and the heavy investment required are key challenges for fresh food e-commerce operators.
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Executive Summary

“New Retail” is a model for integrating online retail, offline retail and logistics across a single value chain powered by data and technology. In this biweekly series, we cover important developments in New Retail in China and beyond. Here’s what’s happening:

  • Alibaba is accelerating its global expansion by allowing merchants in selected countries to sell on AliExpress and launching the “The New Chinese Goods Project.”
  • Meituan closed five Ella fresh food supermarkets.
  • Intersport is partnering with Suning to enhance its presence in China.
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Executive Summary

This presentation was given at ICSC (International Council of Shopping Centers) RECon which featured a duscission of AI in retail and a panel discussion including executives from Guess, Taperstry and Trax. The AI introduction docused on its application in retail and data-driven retail.

Topics include:

  • The endless reach of AI applications
  • The use of AI to drive Spectacular Retail and great logistics
  • Western retailers will adopt “New Retail“ and “Boundaryless Retail” from the East
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Executive Summary

The Coresight Research team is in Las Vegas this week, attending and participating in the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) 2019 RECon event, running May 19-22. These are some of the highlights from day 1:

  • The mall is not dead, just being reincarnated as landlords look for creative ways to reinvent the mall experience to draw in customers – and beat back the trend of rising store closures.
  • Digital natives are getting physical as they see the value in a brick-and-mortar presence.
  • Luxury is investing in physical formats to support the differentiation of their brands.
  • Young Chinese travelers are changing the face of Chinese outbound tourism, presenting opportunities for US luxury retailers.

You may also be interested in our coverage from Day 2 and Day 3 of the RECon event.

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Executive Summary

In this report, we analyze the US women’s underwear market. 

  • The $13.1 billion US women’s underwear market is in a state of change. Over the past five years, the top five US women’s brands have lost market share, falling from a combined total of 51.6% in 2013 to 41.2% in 2018. 
  • Victoria’s Secret, the top women’s intimates’ retailer in the US, has lost market share since 2013, when it held 31.7% of the market; in 2018, its share of the market was down to 24.0%.
  • Market forces are reshaping the US intimates’ industry landscape, with an increasing number of entrants to the category over the past 10 years. Emphasis on body positivity and inclusivity are spurring change, particularly in the evolving definition of sexy. Styles are changing to focus on fit and comfort with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and other technology. 
  • In terms of market share, digitally native brands are the most significant challengers to traditional US women’s underwear brands. The category that includes these and other small brands grew from 28.1% of the market in 2013 to 36.2% of the market in 2018, according to Euromonitor International.  
  • Athletic retailers including Nike, Under Armour, Adidas, Lululemon, and Champion have increased market share in the women’s underwear market from 2013 to 2018. According to NPD, one-third of the “bra dollars” spent by millennials in 2018 were for sports bras. 
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QUESTION OF THE WEEK: Where Do US Shoppers Buy Groceries Online?

Amazon remains the most-shopped retailer for groceries online — but second-place Walmart closed the gap with Amazon considerably in the last 12 months.

Executive Summary

  • Compagnie Financière Richemont reported FY19 revenues of €14.0 billion, slightly above the €13.9 billion consensus estimate recorded by S&P Capital IQ, and up 27.3% year over year.
  • During the year, Richemont acquired full control of YOOX NET-A-PORTER (YNAP) and also acquired Watchfinder.co.uk.
  • The company did not provide quantitative guidance for FY20 but Chairman Johann Rupert stated that Richemont “remains confident in [its] ability to achieve [its] long term ambitions.”

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Executive Summary

  • Burberry’s FY19 sales declined 1% to £2.72 billion at constant exchange rates, missing the consensus estimate of flat currency neutral. Adjusted EPS was flat at 82.1 pence, beating the consensus estimate of 81.3 pence.
  • Retail comps grew 2% with low single digit percentage growth in Asia Pacific, EMEA and the Americas.
  • The company confirmed its guidance for FY20: broadly stable revenue and adjusted operating margins at constant exchange rates.

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Executive Summary

Artificial intelligence (AI) has established itself as the preeminent technology in retailing. In this report, we revisit the four overarching use-cases for AI in retail companies identified in our CORE framework:

  • Communication, with personalized homepages, emails and app experiences, plus chatbots, virtual assistants and voice assistants.
  • Optimize Pricing, by forecasting demand and reviewing competitor pricing, which feed into dynamic pricing.
  • Rationalize Inventory, through forecasting consumer demand, smart allocation of inventory and automated audits.
  • Experiential Retail, with AI bringing new ways for shoppers to engage, discover, buy and pay.

Click here to view more reports on AI in retail.

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Executive Summary

In this series, 30 Global Retail Cities, we profile the world’s major shopping cities – from fashion capitals such as Milan to shopping hubs such as Honolulu and Bermuda. We curated the top retail stores in each city, along with must-see shopping districts, major retail events innovative store formats. Click here to view the full 30 Global Retail Cities series.

These are our highlights from London:

  • Browns East is a retail space where brand installations and immersive pop-ups are held.
  • LN-CC stands for Late Night Chameleon Café, a space resembling a gallery with various rooms filled with collections of apparel and accessories.
  • Chiltern Street is a must-see street in the Marylebone area between Dorset and Blandford Streets, with over 40 stores including cafés and shops.
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Executive Summary

  • This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” looks at the struggle for US grocers to grow their online business.
  • In the US, Uber’s disappointing initial public offering may be good reason for other tech companies going public this year to be concerned. The ride-hailing company priced its shares at $45 – and ended Friday 7.6% lower at $41.57 per share, a disappointing Wall Street debut.
  • UK retail sales grew 4.1% year over year in April, versus last April’s rise of 3.1%, according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC)-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor. Comparable sales increased 3.7% year over year.
  • US retailer Victoria’s Secret will open its first flagship store in Chile this autumn. The flagship store will include all its lingerie collections.

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