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Lowe’s (NYSE: LOW) Fiscal 4Q18 Results: Mixed Results and In-Line Guidance, Yet Many Opportunities for Improvement in 2019

Lowe’s reported mixed Q4 results and 2019 guidance was higher on revenues, in line on EPS. Q4 EPS was $0.80, beating consensus by a penny. Comps were +1.7% below +2.1% consensus. Revenues were slightly light. 2010 revenue guidance was +2%, ahead of +1.8% consensus, comp guidance was +3%, ahead of +2.9% consensus, EPS guidance of $6.00-$6.10 was in line.

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Sector Overview: US Home and Home Improvement Retailers — Mixed Signals in a Time of Bounty

Annual growth in national spending on home improvement and repair is expected to decelerate in 2019, due to rising mortgage interest rates and flat home sales activity, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. Despite this deceleration, other indicators such as home prices, permit activity, and retail sales of building materials are expected to continue to strengthen and drive continued increases in spending in 2019.

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Amazon Outpaces the UK and German E-Commerce Markets in 2018

We estimate that Amazon grew U.K. revenues 23.3% in 2018, just below 2017’s growth of 24.9% and faster than total U.K. Internet retail sales growth of 14.5% in 2018.
In Germany, Amazon revenues climbed 12.1% in 2018, according to our calculations. This compared to an estimated 9.4% increase in total Internet retail sales and Amazon Germany’s 17.5% growth in 2017.
In 2018, Amazon captured a 31% share of U.K. Internet retail sales and a 47% share of German Internet retail sales, according to Euromonitor International estimates.

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Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) 4Q18 Results: Beats Consensus Estimates, Guidance Below Consensus

North America revenues were $44.1 billion, up 18.3% year over year, posting operating income of $1.7 billion, compared to a profit of $1.7 billion in the year-ago quarter.
International revenues were $20.8 billion, up 15.5% year over year, posting an operating loss of $0.6 billion, compared to a loss of $0.9 billion in the year-ago quarter.
AWS revenues were $7.4 billion, up 45.3% year over year, posting an operating profit of $2.2 billion, compared to $1.4 billion in the year-ago quarter.

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