Insight ReportUS Retail Sales Outlook—Preview: Latest Retail Projections in the Absence of Government Data John Mercer, Head of Global Research and Managing Director of Data-Driven Research November 7, 2025 Reasons to ReadIn the absence of US Census Bureau retail sales amid the federal government shutdown, we provide our new ML-driven estimates for monthly retail sales growth, for each of the 12 months from September 2025. This report provides a preview of our regular US Retail Sales Outlook report. Every month in that report, we examine several key macroeconomic indicators and analyze how they may impact retail sales in the coming months. In addition, our model provides proprietary retail sales projections for each of the next 12 months. Already a subscriber? Log in You are currently viewing a preview of this report. Please select an access option to view the full report. Hide Options - Show Options + Get unlimited access to all our research with one of our subscription plans. View Subscription Plans or Contact us to purchase this report. Contact us ✕ This document was generated for Other research you may be interested in: Taking the Temperature on Tariffs Ahead of August 1: How Are Different Consumer Groups Reacting? US Consumer Survey Insights ExtraFinancial Confidence Improves but Tariffs and Inflation Impact Shopping Behavior: US Consumer Survey InsightsUS CPG Sales Tracker: Sharp Beauty Rise Drives CPG Growth in December 2024Consumer Sentiment Declines as Tariffs Loom: Weekly US Consumer Sentiment, Week 28, 2025—Infographic
