Insight Report2026 Retail Predictions: India—Five Pillars Shaping the Next Phase of Retail Growth Madhav Pitaliya, Analyst Sector Lead: Anand Kumar, Associate Director of Retail Research January 7, 2026 Reasons to ReadDiscover the five forces set to redefine Indian retail in 2026—from quick commerce to expanding non-metro consumption and AI-led transformation. This report is part of our global 2026 Retail Predictions series. Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions: How are India’s quick commerce leaders shifting focus from growth at all costs to profitability through higher AOV and tighter cost control? Why are Tier-3 and 4 cities becoming the next frontier for retail expansion, and how are major players localizing formats and assortments? In what ways will improved macroeconomic conditions, such as lower inflation and better credit access, lift consumer spending across India? How is the rise of agentic AI changing the game in retail, enabling end-to-end automation in discovery, checkout and service? Why is the supply chain emerging as the key competitive advantage in Indian retail—and how are leaders investing to stay ahead? Companies mentioned in this report include: Blinkit, Swiggy Instamart, Trent (Zudio), Reliance Retail (Yousta, Reliance Digital), ABFRL (Style Up), DMart (Avenue Supermarts), Flipkart, Amazon India Data in this report include: India’s projected total retail sales and YoY growth; quick commerce profitability and dark store expansion; retail footprint growth in Tier-3/4 cities; macroeconomic indicators including GDP, inflation, and liquidity; retailer adoption and deployment of agentic AI solutions. Already a subscriber? Log in You are currently viewing a preview of this report. Please select an access option to view the full report. Hide Options - Show Options + Get unlimited access to all our research with one of our subscription plans. View Subscription Plans or Contact us to purchase this report. Contact us ✕ This document was generated for Other research you may be interested in: Beauty Shopping in Focus; Economic Sentiment Turns Negative: US Consumer Survey InsightsUS Store Openings and Closures Midyear 2025 Review and Outlook: Where Does Retail Real Estate Stand in a Year of Disruption?Innovator Profile: MUSE Inc.—Transforming Retail Operations with Intelligent Store RobotsWeekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker 2025, Week 5: Apparel, Convenience and Food Retailers Announce Store Expansion Plans