Market Navigators/Market OutlookUS Grocery Retailing—Market Forecast and Competitive Landscape: Nontraditional Grocers To Gain Share Amid Weak Volume Demand and Tariff Pressures Sujeet Naik, Analyst Sector Lead: Anand Kumar, Associate Director of Retail Research September 29, 2025 Reasons to ReadAs part of our Market Navigator series, Coresight Research explores the US grocery market. Dive in today to understand how tariffs, demographics and digital disruption are reshaping the US grocery market in 2025 and beyond. Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions: How will weak demand and a fragile macroeconomic backdrop shape grocery growth in 2025? Which grocery categories and supply chains are most at risk from tariffs? Why is food-at-home inflation expected to accelerate in the second half of 2025? How does the aging demographic profile of supermarket shoppers threaten traditional grocers? What advantages allow non-traditional players like Walmart, Costco, and Amazon to dominate the US grocery landscape? Companies mentioned in this report include: Ahold Delhaize, Albertsons, Aldi, Amazon, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Grocery Outlet, H-E-B, Kroger, Lidl, Natural Grocers, Publix, Save A Lot, Sprouts Farmers Market and Walmart. Data in this report include: US grocery retail sales and growth; in-store CPG unit sales trends; grocery channel distribution; online grocery sales and e-commerce penetration; top food and beverage categories in online grocery; consumer grocery spending and inflation impacts; agricultural import values and sources; demographic shifts in household and shopper composition; food-at-home vs. food-away-from-home spending; retailer revenues, margins, and market share; store counts, gross square footage, sales per store and per square foot; and grocery store traffic patterns. Already a subscriber? Log in You are currently viewing a preview of this report. Please select an access option to view the full report. Hide Options - Show Options + Get unlimited access to all our research with one of our subscription plans. View Subscription Plans or Purchase this report. Buy Now This document was generated for Other research you may be interested in: Seasonal Shopping, 3Q25—Expectations for the Fourth of July, Labor Day, Amazon Prime Day: US Consumer Survey Insights ExtraPersonal Financial Sentiment Hits Six-Month Low: Weekly US Consumer Sentiment, Week 48, 2025—Data GraphicAnalyst Corner: The Shifting “Friction Gap” Between Stores and E-Commerce Is Benefitting Digital Channels, with John MercerThree Data Points We’re Watching This Week, Week 4: US Store Openings and Closures—2024 Review